Part of: Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres
This prediction market covers the May 25 MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres, resolving to the team that wins the matchup. PolySpotter is tracking $4,871 in smart money activity across 2 signals, with recent alerts showing sharp interest on both the Phillies and Padres. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion; if canceled with no makeup game or tied, it resolves 50-50.
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $528,151.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor paid up
A profitable 82% win-rate wallet bought Phillies at 90¢ alongside a major upward price break, despite the market later sitting around 72¢.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $1,293 lifetime.
- They paid 90¢ for Phillies, showing conviction above the current 72¢ market.
- Phillies pricing has jumped sharply, up 19 points over the last day.
$1,850 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Phillies despite the market later pulling back, with a strong historical price-impact signal but modest trade size.
- This bettor has a long track record: 1,203 resolved bets and about $6.7M in lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with over $12M deployed across 261 events.
- The trade helped push Phillies well above their prior range, though the market has since pulled back from 89¢ to 72¢.
$3,022 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume, profitable sports bettor with a 66% win rate is buying Phillies, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has won 66% of 3,751 resolved bets and is up $27.5K lifetime.
- They have traded across 32 sports events, suggesting a repeatable betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- The Phillies entry was 55¢, but the market is now around 38¢, offering a much cheaper follow price.
$1,040 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Surfacing despite the low composite score because this is a high-volume sports bettor with strong lifetime profit and the Padres price has moved sharply in their favor since entry.
- This bettor is up $858K lifetime across 198 resolved markets.
- They have traded across 109 events with $2.6M in cross-market volume.
- They bought Padres at 42¢ before the market moved to about 62¢.
$1,979 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 56%
99% winner on Phillies
Elite profitable sports bettor with a 99% track record bought Phillies at 50¢ alongside one-sided market flow and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up about $6.1M lifetime.
- They bought Phillies at 50¢, and the market has already moved to 58¢.
- Three wallets are betting the same way, with $14.4K total on Phillies.
$3,000 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 99%
86% winner on Phillies
Sharp 86% lifetime sports bettor bought Phillies at 52¢ alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 86% of 713 resolved bets and is up $46K lifetime.
- They bought Phillies at 52¢ before the market moved to 58¢.
- Three wallets are all buying Phillies, with $14.4K of same-side flow and a 35.8x volume spike.
$3,464 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 86%
90% winner backing Padres
Sharp 90% winner with strong lifetime profit is buying Padres, backed by a large same-direction cluster and a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $135,729 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 65 events with the same 90% hit rate.
- Four wallets have bought the Padres in the same direction for $178,143 total.
$1,117 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable whale backs Padres
A highly profitable sports whale made a $144k Padres buy while four wallets pushed the same side amid a large pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor is up $3.27M lifetime across 475 resolved markets.
- They placed a large $144k bet on the Padres at 49¢.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $178k total as volume spiked nearly 70x.
$143,909 on San Diego Padres | Wallet win rate: 58%
Sharp whales on underdog
A $128k coordinated Padres buy is led by highly profitable serial sports bettors, including one wallet up $15.6M and another with a 90% track record.
- Three wallets put $128k on the Padres, far larger than the opposing Phillies flow.
- The biggest buyer is up $15.6M lifetime across 1,375 resolved bets.
- A second wallet wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $136k, adding credibility to the same side.
$128,318 on San Diego Padres
91% winner backing Phillies
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 91% win rate and over $1M lifetime profit bought Phillies at 52¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $1.03M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 180 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Market volume is surging 61.6x above normal before the game.
$3,350 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 48153022, $605,694 (60% win rate)
- 0xc807...c12b — Outcome 48153022, $293,693 (58% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 48153022, $77,182 (56% win rate)
- 0xf152...64aa — Outcome 66655371, $75,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xefdd...017f — Outcome 48153022, $43,040 (96% win rate)
- 0x2ada...2f28 — Outcome 48153022, $30,770 (71% win rate)
- 0xbd14...d62a — Outcome 48153022, $21,056 (96% win rate)
- 0x72d8...5213 — Outcome 66655371, $20,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — Outcome 48153022, $13,647 (50% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 66655371, $12,965 (53% win rate)
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