Part of: Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,761.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

New whale adding to Medvedev

A newly active, heavily funded wallet is adding to a sizable Medvedev position amid a sharp volume spike, though its four-win record is too small to establish a reliable edge.

The wallet added another $8,829 to a Medvedev position already worth about $10,500.
It has reported $37,324 in profit and is 4-for-4 on resolved bets, but that record is still small.
Market volume spiked 28.4× its historical average, though the spike reflects only three trades.

$10,241 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 98%

Six-wallet Medvedev buying cluster

Six wallets committed about $68.8K to Medvedev, with a sharp bettor in the cluster and a major volume spike accompanying an 18-point price rise.

Six wallets put about $68,800 on Medvedev, while the price rose from roughly 59¢ to 78¢.
One bettor in the cluster has won 97% of 87 resolved bets and earned $330,198 in profit.
The market saw a 78× volume spike; the cluster’s average entry was about 66¢.

$68,816 on Daniil Medvedev

Profitable serial trader backs Basilashvili

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is backing Basilashvili at 34¢ amid a sharp volume spike, making this a notable contrarian position.

This bettor has won 73% of 589 resolved bets and is up over $1 million.
They bought Basilashvili at 34¢ while current odds are 24¢, signaling confidence against the market.
Trading volume spiked 51.9× above its historical average as this position was placed.

$1,000 on Nikoloz Basilashvili | Wallet win rate: 73%

Prolific trader adding to Medvedev

A highly active, historically profitable trader added to an existing Medvedev position amid a reported pre-event volume spike, though their 79% win rate does not clearly beat their average winning entry price.

This trader has resolved 490 bets, a 79% win rate, and $120,714 in reported profit.
They added $3,275 to an existing Medvedev position as market activity spiked 23× above its historical average.
The entry was 76¢, matching the current market price; their track record is strong but does not clearly show an edge over the odds paid.

$3,275 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 79%

New whale adding to Medvedev

A newly active, heavily funded wallet is adding to a sizable Medvedev position amid a sharp volume spike, though its four-win record is too small to establish a reliable edge.

The wallet added another $8,829 to a Medvedev position already worth about $10,500.
It has reported $37,324 in profit and is 4-for-4 on resolved bets, but that record is still small.
Market volume spiked 28.4× its historical average, though the spike reflects only three trades.

$8,829 on Daniil Medvedev | Wallet win rate: 98%