Part of: England vs. Croatia

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $190,147.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp-heavy 12-wallet cluster

High-score one-sided Yes cluster with $98.6K from 12 wallets, multiple sharp profiles, and a 30x volume spike, though some No sells appear to be position-closing.

  • 12 wallets put $98.6K toward Yes, including two large buys totaling about $55K at 16¢.
  • Several wallets have strong records, including one that wins 92% of resolved bets and another with 83% over 2,431 bets.
  • Volume jumped 30x versus normal activity, suggesting coordinated conviction before resolution.

$98,573 on Yes

92% winner backs No

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 92% resolved win rate bought $13.9k of Croatia No amid a large pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $28.9k lifetime.
  • They have traded 46 markets across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
  • The market saw a 38.7x volume spike, and this wallet put $13.9k on No at 84¢.

$13,919 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%

New profitable whale buying NO

A 1-day-old repeat whale with early profits is adding a $6.3k NO bet amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This 1-day-old wallet has already put $32.6k into flagged bets and is up $1.9k.
  • The bettor is 4-for-4 on resolved positions so far, despite being very new.
  • Market volume is surging 51x above its historical average before the match.

$6,348 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp 5-wallet underdog push

A 5-wallet one-sided buy cluster includes multiple highly profitable bettors, led by a 96% winner up $1.47M, buying $73.5k of Yes at 17¢ into a major volume spike.

  • Lead bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.47M lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought $73.5k on the same side, including three profitable bettors with strong records.
  • Market volume spiked 51x, and entry at 17¢ implies a nearly 6x payout if it hits.

$29,152 on Yes

97% win-rate sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on Croatia at 83¢.

  • This bettor has won 111 of 114 resolved bets and is up $20,930 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 26 events with a 97% hit rate.
  • Entry at 83¢ suggests they see Croatia not winning as a high-probability outcome.

$2,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 98%

Perfect-record sports bettor

Sharp-wallet override: a 10-for-10 profitable bettor placed a $30k No bet despite the alert’s low composite score.

  • This bettor has won 10 of 10 resolved bets and is up about $18k lifetime.
  • They put $30.4k on No at 82¢, nearly 90% of the market’s 24h volume.
  • This is a sports market with strong liquidity, so the wallet’s track record is the main signal.

$30,377 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

New profitable wallet buying longshot

A 3-day-old wallet with early profits made a fresh $9.8k buy on Croatia Yes at 19¢, suggesting high conviction despite a limited track record.

  • This 3-day-old wallet is already up $1.8k and is now making a much larger $9.8k bet.
  • Buying at 19¢ means they see Croatia as a longshot with roughly 5x payout if it hits.
  • The wallet has 4 resolved bets so far with 3 wins, but the track record is still early.

$9,777 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6149...b48c Outcome 55443738, $372,589 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x5f65...2036 Outcome 55443738, $291,248 (96% win rate)
  3. 0xedd9...f79b Outcome 55443738, $199,999
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 90344801, $191,678
  5. 0x8b5a...00f2 Outcome 55443738, $147,323 (51% win rate)
  6. 0x47a8...52f9 Outcome 55443738, $110,000 (98% win rate)
  7. 0x8bae...a34c Outcome 55443738, $101,458 (86% win rate)
  8. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 55443738, $77,432 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 55443738, $74,919 (72% win rate)
  10. 0xaa55...fae5 Outcome 55443738, $58,824 (33% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Starmer exits before mid-2026

Covers 2 related markets

Croatia fails to win

Covers 1 related market

Verhoeven defeats Usyk in Giza

Covers 1 related market

Senegal fails to win

Covers 1 related market

PSG will not win

Covers 1 related market

Arsenal wins on May 18

Covers 1 related market

Arsenal beat West Ham

Covers 2 related markets

Khamzat defeats Strickland

Covers 1 related market

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

ResolvedEngland vs. Croatia$190,147 tracked7 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 17, 2026 If Croatia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

52d ago

$98,573 on Yes at 16¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

52d ago

$13,919 on No at 84¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

52d ago

$6,348 on No at 84¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

52d ago

$29,152 on Yes at 17¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

53d ago

$2,000 on No at 83¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

53d ago

$30,377 on No at 82¢

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

54d ago

$9,777 on Yes at 19¢

Related Theses