Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance
24 smart money signals detected, totaling $664,705.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
42-wallet Croatia flow
High-conviction Croatia-side flow is notable, with 42 wallets totaling about $253k plus a large repeat new-wallet trade, though this specific wallet has no proven edge.
- 42 wallets are all taking the Croatia side, totaling about $253k in one-sided flow.
- This new 2-day-old wallet has already triggered 4 large-bet alerts with $8.6k flagged.
- Market volume spiked 59x versus baseline, suggesting unusual pre-match positioning.
$2,887 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 52%
51-wallet Portugal sharp cluster
Huge coordinated Portugal-side flow from 51 wallets, including several highly profitable sports/event traders, makes this a strong copy-trade signal despite some opposing market activity.
- 51 wallets pushed $321K toward Portugal, with two linked funder relationships showing coordinated conviction.
- Several participating bettors have strong records, including one up $8.2M lifetime with an 85% win record.
- The flow came with a 59x volume spike and roughly 20-point Portugal price move, suggesting major momentum behind the bet.
$445,884 on Portugal
Sharp bettor joins 24-wallet Croatia push
A highly profitable 85% winner bought Croatia while 24 wallets put $165k the same way, despite the price later falling sharply.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $8.2M lifetime.
- 24 wallets all bought Croatia, totaling $165.6k in one-sided flow.
- Croatia was bought at 58¢ but now sits near 29¢, making this a contrarian follow of a proven bettor.
$4,725 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 85%
New whale in 14-wallet push
A brand-new whale joined a 14-wallet one-sided Portugal push, with $75.7k clustered flow and a 17x volume spike despite the trade moving slightly against entry.
- A 10-hour-old wallet bought $11.8k of Portugal and has already had $57k in flagged bets.
- 14 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $75.7k of Portugal demand.
- The market saw a 17x volume spike, and Portugal can currently be followed below this bettor’s 74¢ entry.
$11,799 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 50%
Profitable new sports whale
Very new wallet with repeat large-bet flags and strong early profits bought Portugal at 73¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 2-day-old wallet is already up $52k after winning 6 of 8 resolved bets.
- It has been flagged 7 times for large new-wallet bets, totaling nearly $90k in notable activity.
- Portugal was bought at 73¢ as market volume ran 21.5x above its historical average.
$3,060 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 60%
New wallet is 9-for-9
A 2-day-old wallet with a 9-for-9 resolved record and $8,082 profit is continuing to place sizable sports bets, buying $3,000 of Portugal despite the market being highly liquid.
- This new bettor has won all 9 resolved trades and is up $8,082 so far.
- They have already had $65,000 in flagged bets across 9 positions despite the wallet being only 2 days old.
- This is a fresh $3,000 buy on Portugal at 76¢, implying continued confidence even after Portugal moved up over the past day.
$3,000 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 89%
98% winner on sports
Sharp sports wallet with a 98% resolved win record and strong cross-market history bought $20k of Portugal at 75¢.
- This bettor has won 56 of 57 resolved bets and is up $129k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.29M deployed across 62 events.
- A $20k buy at 75¢ suggests continued confidence despite Portugal already being favored.
$20,000 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 98%
97% winner backs Portugal
A highly proven sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and $157k profit bought Portugal at 72¢ amid elevated pre-game volume.
- This bettor has won 74 of 76 resolved positions and is up $157k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 37 events with a 97% win record.
- The market saw a 14.6x volume spike before kickoff, supporting the move into Portugal.
$4,174 on Portugal | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp wallet joins Croatia cluster
High-scoring Croatia buy cluster is worth surfacing because coordinated flow includes a profitable 83% bettor, though opposing Portugal flow makes the signal mixed.
- A bettor who wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $47k is buying with this Croatia cluster.
- 8 wallets bought $38.6k of Croatia, alongside a 33-point price burst in the market.
- Signal is mixed because a larger 14-wallet group also bought Portugal for $75.7k.
$38,589 on Croatia
Sharp underdog bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win record and positive lifetime P&L is taking Croatia at 28% despite Portugal being favored.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $15.5K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 50 events with the same 81% win record.
- Buying Croatia at 28¢ implies a contrarian underdog view with roughly 3.6x payout if correct.
$2,000 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x6d77...bcaf — Outcome 28269103, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x3a6a...458e — Outcome 28269103, $73,029 (100% win rate)
- 0x8b5a...00f2 — Outcome 28269103, $68,003 (51% win rate)
- 0xc8ec...e8f1 — Outcome 28269103, $50,937 (33% win rate)
- 0x55f9...8615 — Outcome 28269103, $28,638 (100% win rate)
- 0x8627...5382 — Outcome 28269103, $25,000 (93% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 28269103, $20,101 (56% win rate)
- 0xe700...7005 — Outcome 28269103, $17,678 (49% win rate)
- 0x8b0d...59bd — Outcome 28269103, $14,777 (50% win rate)
- 0x4154...e7a8 — Outcome 28269103, $14,000 (85% win rate)
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