Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,076.

Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Crypto, Bitcoin, 5M, Up or Down

Notable Trades

Sharp last-minute BTC bettor

Sharp bettor with an 88% resolved win record placed a last-minute Down bet in a short BTC market despite current odds moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.1K lifetime.
  • They entered Down at 45¢ just 3.3 minutes before resolution, suggesting a time-sensitive view.
  • The bet was large for prior activity, at over 4.7x the reported 24h volume baseline.

$1,088 on Down | Wallet win rate: 88%

90% winner last-minute BTC bet

A profitable 90% win-rate wallet made a near-resolution $2k BTC Up bet that dwarfed the market's prior volume.

  • This bettor has won 90% of tracked bets and is up $5,450 lifetime.
  • They bought $1,988 of Up just 5.8 minutes before resolution.
  • The bet was 8.6x the market’s entire 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.

$1,988 on Up | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3206...623f Outcome 93834458, $4,588 (90% win rate)
  2. 0x53d6...b6e8 Outcome 93834458, $2,757
  3. 0x22b1...a369 Outcome 93834458, $2,018
  4. 0xb66d...7ec1 Outcome 93834458, $1,064
  5. 0x02f4...4658 Outcome 93834458, $996
  6. 0x04a1...3527 Outcome 93834458, $961 (56% win rate)
  7. 0x6580...a2d9 Outcome 93834458, $830
  8. 0xc539...73d1 Outcome 77128474, $776
  9. 0x12c2...1381 Outcome 93834458, $688
  10. 0x6fcb...13ab Outcome 93834458, $536

Related Theses

Kim Boo-kyum wins Daegu mayoral race

Covers 2 related markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$3,076 tracked2 signalsCrypto PricesRecurringCryptoBitcoin5MUp or DownHide From New

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

2h ago

$1,088 on Down at 45¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET

2h ago

$1,988 on Up at 59¢

Related Theses