Part of: Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlin
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlin
This Polymarket tennis market tracks whether Jamie Mackenzie or Max Dahlin advances in their Bonn match, scheduled for August 1, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances; it resolves according to the exchange’s fallback rules if the match is canceled, tied, or remains undecided for more than seven days. Smart money activity currently includes signals on both players, including multiple bets backing Jamie Mackenzie.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $20,439.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor adds to Jamie
A proven bettor with a 77% win rate and meaningful historical edge added to Jamie Mackenzie at 74¢ during a major volume and price surge.
- This bettor has won 77% of 384 resolved trades and is up $26,305.
- They added $1,121 to Jamie Mackenzie at 74¢, reinforcing an existing position rather than taking a one-off flyer.
- Jamie Mackenzie then surged 47 percentage points amid a 188x historical volume spike.
$1,121 on Jamie Mackenzie | Wallet win rate: 79%
32-0 bettor adds to Jamie
A proven 32-0 bettor with substantial existing exposure added to Jamie Mackenzie at 51¢ amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won all 32 resolved positions, earning $244,857 on $1.03M invested.
- The wallet added $2,550 to Jamie Mackenzie at 51¢ while already holding $34,800 in the same outcome.
- Trading volume was 3,349 times the historical average, signaling unusually concentrated interest in this match.
$2,550 on Jamie Mackenzie | Wallet win rate: 100%
32-0 bettor scales into Jamie
A proven 32-0 bettor with substantial existing exposure added $13,668 to Jamie Mackenzie during a major volume spike at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won all 32 resolved positions, with $244,857 in reported profit and a 53% average entry price.
- They added $13,668 to Jamie Mackenzie at 51¢ despite already investing $34,800 in the same outcome.
- The trades drove a 1,237x volume spike in a currently near-even two-way market.
$13,668 on Jamie Mackenzie | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp bettor adds to Max Dahlin
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 81% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding $2,000 to Max Dahlin at an even-money price.
- This bettor wins 81% of 231 resolved positions and is up $118,216 lifetime.
- They are adding $2,000 to an existing Max Dahlin position, signaling increased conviction at 50¢.
- The trader has placed positions across 33 events while winning well above the average 37¢ entry price.
$2,000 on Max Dahlin | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp tennis bettor switches to Max
A highly profitable serial tennis trader with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge has switched from Jamie Mackenzie to a fresh Max Dahlin position at even odds.
- This bettor wins 84% of 457 resolved positions and is up $460,168 lifetime.
- They opened $1,100 on Max Dahlin at 50¢ after closing a $2,200 Jamie Mackenzie position, signaling a directional switch.
- The trader has placed bets across 49 markets and 47 events, making this a proven recurring strategy rather than an isolated wager.
$1,100 on Max Dahlin | Wallet win rate: 84%
Top Holders
- 0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 10938680, $10,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 10938680, $4,802 (70% win rate)
- 0x3fa2...cf15 — Outcome 10938680, $4,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x70f3...70cd — Outcome 10938680, $2,940
- 0x7234...1d85 — Outcome 10938680, $2,200 (84% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 10938680, $1,464 (91% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 10938680, $1,327 (74% win rate)
- 0xeaac...d71d — Outcome 10938680, $1,327 (82% win rate)
- 0xc22e...eab8 — Outcome 10938680, $1,073
- 0xb5f9...a28c — Outcome 10938680, $931 (89% win rate)
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