Part of: Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic

This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Hamad Medjedovic in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $64,010.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable whale switches sides

A highly profitable, prolific trader made a roughly $10,000 bet on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic, a notable directional switch despite limited market-specific signals.

This trader is up about $53.8M across more than 70,000 resolved bets.
They placed nearly $10,000 on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic.
The bet is about 170% of the market’s 24-hour volume, though liquidity is relatively deep.

$12,132 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 64%

Proven sharp bettor leads Tirante momentum

Six wallets bought Tirante as the price surged, including a highly profitable bettor with 2,922 resolved positions and a substantial historical edge.

A bettor with a 93% win rate across 2,922 resolved positions bought Tirante at 53¢, well below the current 80¢ odds.
Six wallets put $18,255 on Tirante, alongside a 78× volume spike and a sharp price rise.
The flow is not unanimous: three wallets also bought Medjedovic, so the signals point to a contested match thesis.

$18,255 on Thiago Agustin Tirante

Three-wallet Medjedovic buying surge

Three wallets bought Medjedovic amid a 78.6x volume spike, and this trader added to an existing position despite lacking clear odds-adjusted edge.

Three wallets bought Medjedovic for a combined $9,236, showing coordinated support.
Trading volume surged to 78.6 times its historical average, alongside the one-sided buying.
This bettor added $1,960 to an existing Medjedovic position at 49¢; their 66% win rate alone does not show an edge at these odds.

$1,960 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 66%

Three-wallet cluster with a proven whale

Three wallets bought Hamad for $9,236 during a 94x volume spike, including a highly profitable bettor with a substantial track record.

Three wallets bought Hamad for $9,236 as market activity surged to 94 times its historical average.
One buyer has a 64% win rate across more than 70,000 resolved trades and is up $53.9M lifetime.
The cluster entered around 49.5¢; Hamad is now priced near 46¢.

$9,236 on Hamad Medjedovic

Profitable serial trader buying Tirante

A highly experienced, strongly profitable trader bought Tirante during a 94x market-volume spike, making the trade notable despite the market's ample liquidity.

This bettor has a 71% win rate across 114,384 resolved bets and is up $8.2M lifetime.
The market saw a 94x volume spike versus its historical average, with six trades in the scan window.
They bought Tirante at 53¢; the current ask is 55¢.

$1,143 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable whale switches sides

A highly profitable, prolific trader made a roughly $10,000 bet on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic, a notable directional switch despite limited market-specific signals.

This trader is up about $53.8M across more than 70,000 resolved bets.
They placed nearly $10,000 on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic.
The bet is about 170% of the market’s 24-hour volume, though liquidity is relatively deep.

$6,065 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable whale switches sides

A highly profitable, prolific trader made a roughly $10,000 bet on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic, a notable directional switch despite limited market-specific signals.

This trader is up about $53.8M across more than 70,000 resolved bets.
They placed nearly $10,000 on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic.
The bet is about 170% of the market’s 24-hour volume, though liquidity is relatively deep.

$5,225 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable whale switches sides

A highly profitable, prolific trader made a roughly $10,000 bet on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic, a notable directional switch despite limited market-specific signals.

This trader is up about $53.8M across more than 70,000 resolved bets.
They placed nearly $10,000 on Tirante after closing a position on Medjedovic.
The bet is about 170% of the market’s 24-hour volume, though liquidity is relatively deep.

$9,994 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 64%