Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

This Polymarket MLB market covers the June 3 game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, resolving to the team that wins. PolySpotter is tracking $25,773 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp sports bettors and profitable wallets, with recent alerts pointing to Boston interest. The market is scheduled to resolve after completion of the game, with a final resolution deadline listed as June 10, 2026.

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $145,215.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Elite sharp buying favorite

Surfaced despite a weak price-impact score because the bettor has an exceptional 1,063-5 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L.

  • This bettor has won 1,063 of 1,068 resolved bets and is up $124K lifetime.
  • They bought Boston at 90¢ after a fast 16-point move, suggesting confidence even at heavy-favorite odds.
  • Their history shows repeated success on high-probability entries, with an average winning price around 93¢.

$1,525 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 100%

Fresh whale chasing momentum

A brand-new wallet made a $10k Boston buy that coincided with a sharp 16-point move, suggesting high-conviction live positioning despite no resolved track record yet.

  • A 1-hour-old wallet put $10,000 on Boston at 90¢ and has already been flagged twice for large bets.
  • Boston jumped 16¢ in 5 minutes around this flow, showing the bet came with real market momentum.
  • Entry at 90¢ is a high-confidence bet that Boston closes out the game.

$10,000 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 100%

Fresh whale backing favorite

A brand-new wallet put $14.2k on Boston across two buys during a sharp pre-game move, with the position already moving from an average ~89¢ entry to 92¢.

  • A 1-hour-old wallet put $14.2k on Boston in two buys, showing immediate high conviction.
  • Boston moved up 16 percentage points in 5 minutes, and this bettor caught part of the move from 85–90¢ to 92¢.
  • Market volume spiked 20.9x versus normal, suggesting broader money is piling into the same side.

$14,248 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with $14.1M lifetime profit bought the Orioles, though the position has moved sharply against them since entry.

  • This bettor has a long sports track record, winning 64% of 3,900 resolved bets and earning $14.1M lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 388 events and $4.5M flagged in similar patterns.
  • The bet is now deep underwater, moving from a 26¢ entry to 12¢, so this is a high-risk underdog follow rather than clean momentum.

$1,171 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable bettor on momentum

Highly profitable sports bettor added nearly $3k on Boston alongside one-sided flow and a rapid 16-point move.

  • This bettor is up $14.1M lifetime across 3,900 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought Boston in the same window, totaling $6.2k on one side.
  • Boston moved from this bettor’s 64–68¢ entries to 76¢ within minutes.

$2,923 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with a 70% record and $168.9k lifetime profit bought Boston in a liquid MLB market.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 221 resolved bets and is up $168,850 lifetime.
  • They have traded across 83 events with nearly $595k in similar cross-market activity.
  • Buying Boston at 70¢ suggests confidence despite the market currently sitting closer to 68¢.

$1,815 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable sports wallets on underdog

Three profitable high-volume sports wallets took the Orioles side, led by a $14.1M lifetime-profit bettor, though the market is liquid and price has moved slightly against them.

  • A bettor up $14.1M lifetime added to the Orioles at 26¢, joining two other profitable wallets on the same side.
  • The cluster is taking the underdog after a sharp 19-point drop, suggesting they see value where the market has moved hard against Baltimore.
  • One wallet has traded across 388 sports events with a 64% win rate, making this more than a random small MLB bet.

$5,335 on Baltimore Orioles

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Boston at 55¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢ amid a pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 8,650 resolved bets and is up $3.23M lifetime.
  • They bought Boston at 55¢, and the market has already moved to 62¢.
  • This came during a 20.6x pre-game volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.

$2,424 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 67%

$19.7M profitable sports whale

A massively profitable serial sports trader put $33.5k on Baltimore amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $19.7M lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved markets.
  • They placed a $33.5k bet on Baltimore at 43¢ in a highly liquid MLB market.
  • Market activity spiked 81.8x above its historical average before the game.

$33,540 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 61%

88% sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% historical win rate and nearly $3M in lifetime profit bought Boston at 57¢ despite this being a liquid MLB market.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 822 events with a strong long-term record.
  • Entry at 57¢ suggests they see Boston as meaningfully undervalued.

$1,110 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 11547596, $269,137 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x1136...0c2e Outcome 11547596, $250,000 (49% win rate)
  3. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 15806682, $135,281 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xf152...64aa Outcome 15806682, $27,000 (65% win rate)
  5. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 11547596, $17,428 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x021c...232f Outcome 15806682, $10,400 (99% win rate)
  7. 0x5ba6...0f07 Outcome 11547596, $6,035 (39% win rate)
  8. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 15806682, $4,765 (53% win rate)
  9. 0xacf8...e791 Outcome 11547596, $4,545 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x9def...6eac Outcome 11547596, $3,324 (90% win rate)

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

6dBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$145,215 tracked15 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 3 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
1
29-33
Final
BOS
8
26-34
BAL +130BOS -157O/U 8.5
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
36,872
Price History — “Boston Red Sox
92¢
57¢
22¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2h ago

$1,525 on Boston Red Sox at 90¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

3h ago

$10,000 on Boston Red Sox at 90¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

3h ago

$14,248 on Boston Red Sox at 89¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

3h ago

$1,171 on Baltimore Orioles at 26¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

3h ago

$2,923 on Boston Red Sox at 65¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

3h ago

$1,815 on Boston Red Sox at 70¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

3h ago

$5,335 on Baltimore Orioles at 27¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

4h ago

$2,424 on Boston Red Sox at 55¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

4h ago

$33,540 on Baltimore Orioles at 43¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

4h ago

$1,110 on Boston Red Sox at 57¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

4h ago

$2,000 on Baltimore Orioles at 44¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

4h ago

$1,425 on Boston Red Sox at 57¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

5h ago

$3,190 on Boston Red Sox at 58¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

3h ago

$6,230 on Boston Red Sox at 66¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

6h ago

$58,278 on Baltimore Orioles at 42¢

Related Theses