Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
This Polymarket MLB market covers the June 3 game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, resolving to the team that wins. PolySpotter is tracking $25,773 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp sports bettors and profitable wallets, with recent alerts pointing to Boston interest. The market is scheduled to resolve after completion of the game, with a final resolution deadline listed as June 10, 2026.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $145,215.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Elite sharp buying favorite
Surfaced despite a weak price-impact score because the bettor has an exceptional 1,063-5 resolved record and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor has won 1,063 of 1,068 resolved bets and is up $124K lifetime.
- They bought Boston at 90¢ after a fast 16-point move, suggesting confidence even at heavy-favorite odds.
- Their history shows repeated success on high-probability entries, with an average winning price around 93¢.
$1,525 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 100%
Fresh whale chasing momentum
A brand-new wallet made a $10k Boston buy that coincided with a sharp 16-point move, suggesting high-conviction live positioning despite no resolved track record yet.
- A 1-hour-old wallet put $10,000 on Boston at 90¢ and has already been flagged twice for large bets.
- Boston jumped 16¢ in 5 minutes around this flow, showing the bet came with real market momentum.
- Entry at 90¢ is a high-confidence bet that Boston closes out the game.
$10,000 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 100%
Fresh whale backing favorite
A brand-new wallet put $14.2k on Boston across two buys during a sharp pre-game move, with the position already moving from an average ~89¢ entry to 92¢.
- A 1-hour-old wallet put $14.2k on Boston in two buys, showing immediate high conviction.
- Boston moved up 16 percentage points in 5 minutes, and this bettor caught part of the move from 85–90¢ to 92¢.
- Market volume spiked 20.9x versus normal, suggesting broader money is piling into the same side.
$14,248 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with $14.1M lifetime profit bought the Orioles, though the position has moved sharply against them since entry.
- This bettor has a long sports track record, winning 64% of 3,900 resolved bets and earning $14.1M lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 388 events and $4.5M flagged in similar patterns.
- The bet is now deep underwater, moving from a 26¢ entry to 12¢, so this is a high-risk underdog follow rather than clean momentum.
$1,171 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable bettor on momentum
Highly profitable sports bettor added nearly $3k on Boston alongside one-sided flow and a rapid 16-point move.
- This bettor is up $14.1M lifetime across 3,900 resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought Boston in the same window, totaling $6.2k on one side.
- Boston moved from this bettor’s 64–68¢ entries to 76¢ within minutes.
$2,923 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 64%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial sports bettor with a 70% record and $168.9k lifetime profit bought Boston in a liquid MLB market.
- This bettor has won 70% of 221 resolved bets and is up $168,850 lifetime.
- They have traded across 83 events with nearly $595k in similar cross-market activity.
- Buying Boston at 70¢ suggests confidence despite the market currently sitting closer to 68¢.
$1,815 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 70%
Profitable sports wallets on underdog
Three profitable high-volume sports wallets took the Orioles side, led by a $14.1M lifetime-profit bettor, though the market is liquid and price has moved slightly against them.
- A bettor up $14.1M lifetime added to the Orioles at 26¢, joining two other profitable wallets on the same side.
- The cluster is taking the underdog after a sharp 19-point drop, suggesting they see value where the market has moved hard against Baltimore.
- One wallet has traded across 388 sports events with a 64% win rate, making this more than a random small MLB bet.
$5,335 on Baltimore Orioles
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Boston at 55¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢ amid a pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 67% of 8,650 resolved bets and is up $3.23M lifetime.
- They bought Boston at 55¢, and the market has already moved to 62¢.
- This came during a 20.6x pre-game volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.
$2,424 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 67%
$19.7M profitable sports whale
A massively profitable serial sports trader put $33.5k on Baltimore amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor is up $19.7M lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved markets.
- They placed a $33.5k bet on Baltimore at 43¢ in a highly liquid MLB market.
- Market activity spiked 81.8x above its historical average before the game.
$33,540 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 61%
88% sports sharp
A highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% historical win rate and nearly $3M in lifetime profit bought Boston at 57¢ despite this being a liquid MLB market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up about $3.0M lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 822 events with a strong long-term record.
- Entry at 57¢ suggests they see Boston as meaningfully undervalued.
$1,110 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Outcome 11547596, $269,137 (61% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Outcome 11547596, $250,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x1117...3532 — Outcome 15806682, $135,281 (64% win rate)
- 0xf152...64aa — Outcome 15806682, $27,000 (65% win rate)
- 0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 11547596, $17,428 (69% win rate)
- 0x021c...232f — Outcome 15806682, $10,400 (99% win rate)
- 0x5ba6...0f07 — Outcome 11547596, $6,035 (39% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 15806682, $4,765 (53% win rate)
- 0xacf8...e791 — Outcome 11547596, $4,545 (81% win rate)
- 0x9def...6eac — Outcome 11547596, $3,324 (90% win rate)
Related Theses
Thunder win by seven
Covers 9 related markets
