This bettor wins 89% of 2,485 resolved positions and is up $3.32M lifetime. They placed a concentrated $10,312 buy on No at 89¢, aligned with the market’s 88% current probability. Trading volume spiked 268.8× the recent average, adding significance to the position.

Part of: Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,126.

Categories: Games, Soccer, UEL, Sports

Notable Trades

Elite bettor buys No

A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.32M profit made a fresh $10.3K concentrated bet on No amid a major volume spike.

This bettor wins 89% of 2,485 resolved positions and is up $3.32M lifetime.
They placed a concentrated $10,312 buy on No at 89¢, aligned with the market’s 88% current probability.
Trading volume spiked 268.8× the recent average, adding significance to the position.

$10,312 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable serial bettor adds to No

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader is adding $16.7K to No amid a 268x volume spike, making this a meaningful directional signal despite the already-high price.

This bettor has won 75% of 3,351 resolved trades and is up $884,422 lifetime.
They are adding $16,663 to an existing No position, reinforcing the 88%-priced favorite.
Trading activity is running at 268x the recent average, suggesting unusually strong interest in this outcome.

$16,663 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable serial trader buys No

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought No amid an unusually large pre-event volume surge, providing enough corroboration to surface despite the modest position size.

This bettor has won 62% of 23,269 resolved bets and is up $3.63 million lifetime.
The $1,332 No position arrived during a 268.8x surge in market activity across 16 trades.
The trade entered No at 89¢, consistent with a strong view that the match will not end in a draw.

$1,332 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Three-wallet cluster backing No

Three wallets concentrated nearly $10,000 into No, including a highly active profitable cross-market trader, making this a credible directional sports position despite the already-high 90% No price.

Three wallets bought No together, committing $9,820 at 88–89¢.
One participating bettor has traded across 546 events and is up $3.6 million lifetime.
The position is already near the market’s 90% No price, so the remaining upside is limited but the coordinated flow is notable.

$9,820 on No

Top Holders

0x1c27...b1ba — Outcome 82627964, $267,236 (100% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 82627964, $22,441 (99% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 76387164, $2,487
0xfcd0...b719 — Outcome 82627964, $1,901
0xef4f...4598 — Outcome 82627964, $1,289 (86% win rate)
0x50e5...e39f — Outcome 76387164, $480
0x910a...1aa7 — Outcome 82627964, $377
0x1602...fbb0 — Outcome 82627964, $351 (63% win rate)
0x2721...3e21 — Outcome 82627964, $200
0xf1b9...3964 — Outcome 82627964, $120

Related Theses

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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?

ResolvedSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF$38,126 tracked4 signalsGamesSoccerUELSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 20, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

92¢

89¢

85¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction