Part of: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $92,981.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

92% win-rate esports bettor backs Falcons

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.7M profit is buying Team Falcons at 42¢ in a liquid esports handicap market.

  • This bettor has won 598 of 647 resolved positions, with $1.71M in lifetime profit.
  • The entry at 42¢ implies the bettor sees Team Falcons as substantially undervalued despite 41% current odds.
  • They have traded across 709 markets and 456 events, including three markets tied to this event.

$1,002 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp bettor joins 20-wallet Falcons cluster

A highly profitable 92% win-rate bettor joined a 20-wallet, $114,694 Falcons cluster during an extreme pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 647 resolved positions and earned $1.71M in profit.
  • 20 wallets bought Team Falcons for a combined $114,694, signaling unusually concentrated conviction.
  • The market saw a 1,712x historical volume spike, although Falcons have since fallen from this bettor’s entries.

$3,642 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 92%

95% winner scaling into Falcons

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $5,555 to Team Falcons at 39%.

  • This bettor wins 95% of 863 resolved positions and is up $844,632 lifetime.
  • They are adding $5,555 to Team Falcons at 39%, despite already holding $14,244 in the position.
  • The wallet has traded across 323 events, providing unusually strong evidence beyond a single bet.

$5,555 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable trader scales into Falcons

A profitable, highly active esports trader added $64.8K to an already large Falcons position during a major volume spike, though the wallet's win rate is only moderately strong.

  • This bettor added $64,782 to Team Falcons, on top of an existing $162,584 position at the same entry price.
  • The trade represented 219% of 24-hour market volume as activity surged more than 300x its recent average.
  • The wallet is up $937,645 across 91 resolved bets, though its 56% win rate suggests moderate rather than exceptional accuracy.

$64,782 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 54%

98% win-rate serial sharp

A highly proven serial trader with a 98% win rate and $11.1M profit made an $18,000 concentrated Falcons bet, though the position has since moved sharply against them.

  • This bettor has won 654 of 664 resolved positions, with $11.1M in profit and a 59¢ average winning entry.
  • They deployed $18,000 on Team Falcons across three buys, including a fresh 39¢ add after earlier 62¢ entries.
  • The market has fallen from 62¢ to 38¢, so the trade is a high-conviction contrarian position rather than confirmed momentum.

$18,000 on Team Falcons | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf7c2...9b8d Outcome 71535558, $14,244 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 71535558, $13,587 (98% win rate)
  3. 0xb3a4...6c3e Outcome 71535558, $7,000 (54% win rate)
  4. 0x40ad...9a9b Outcome 71535558, $3,000
  5. 0x86e9...4cdf Outcome 71535558, $2,391 (92% win rate)
  6. 0x5b57...de6b Outcome 71535558, $2,000 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x94cb...64e3 Outcome 71535558, $1,500 (73% win rate)
  8. 0xfb0c...8c72 Outcome 71535558, $1,358 (77% win rate)
  9. 0xd0e9...67ff Outcome 71535558, $1,202 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x86b1...c094 Outcome 71535558, $888 (32% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

ResolvedDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs$92,981 tracked5 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Nigma Galaxy and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons wins 2 or more games than Nigma Galaxy in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 20, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Nigma Galaxy
102¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

3d ago

$1,002 on Team Falcons at 42¢

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

3d ago

$3,642 on Team Falcons at 60¢

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

3d ago

$5,555 on Team Falcons at 39¢

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

3d ago

$64,782 on Team Falcons at 40¢

Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)

3d ago

$18,000 on Team Falcons at 39¢

Related Theses