Part of: Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

12 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,530.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

96% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 96% win rate bought Elena Rybakina during a volume-and-price surge, making this a strong follow despite the market moving lower since entry.

  • This bettor wins 96% of 1,932 resolved trades and is up about $120k lifetime
  • They trade across 120 events with the same strong results, which points to repeatable edge rather than a lucky streak
  • Their buy came during a 19x volume spike and a 22-point move in this market, signaling strong conviction on Rybakina

$1,994 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 95%

4-wallet underdog cluster

Four wallets piled into the underdog side during a major pre-match volume spike and sharp price move, signaling a coordinated contrarian bet worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Four wallets all bet Qinwen Zheng as the market repriced fast, with $11.2k clustered on one side
  • The move came during a 40.9x volume spike and pushed Zheng up about 20 points in under 5 minutes
  • Most of the flow sold Rybakina at 79-87¢, which translates to buying Zheng well below even odds

$11,169 on Qinwen Zheng

8-wallet Zheng pile-in

Eight wallets piled into Qinwen Zheng in a short burst, moving the price about 20 points, and the cluster includes at least one very profitable high-volume trader plus a heavily active new wallet.

  • Eight wallets all bet Qinwen Zheng in the same burst for $15.9k, helping push her price from 30-37¢ up to 46¢
  • The group includes a bettor up about $950k lifetime and another wallet with an 85% win rate across 243 resolved markets
  • One 2-day-old wallet has already been flagged 18 times with $32k in large bets, adding fresh high-conviction flow

$15,902 on Qinwen Zheng

Active new wallet backing Rybakina

A 9-day-old wallet has already made 28 notable bets totaling $37.7k and is now buying Elena Rybakina into a major volume surge, suggesting an active new bettor worth monitoring despite limited resolved history.

  • This 9-day-old wallet has already triggered 28 large-bet alerts and put $37.7k to work
  • The buy came during a 29.8x volume spike, showing unusual attention on this match
  • They bought Elena Rybakina at 54¢, slightly above the current 50¢ market price

$1,676 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 82%

85% winner joins cluster

An 85%-win-rate serial sports trader joined a 5-wallet one-sided push into Elena Rybakina during a huge pre-match volume spike, suggesting coordinated conviction despite only modest ticket size.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades across 243 picks and has bet over $787k historically.
  • Five wallets all bought Elena Rybakina, with $29.5k total backing the same side.
  • Match volume is running 118x above normal, and this wallet entered at 53¢ while the market is now around 55¢.

$2,069 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 85%

5-wallet underdog cluster

Five wallets piled into Elena Rybakina for $20.5k during a 93x volume spike, and one participant is a serial cross-market trader with an 85% win rate, making this coordinated underdog buying worth watching despite mixed wallet quality.

  • Five wallets bought the same side for $20.5k in a tight time window while market volume ran 93x above normal.
  • One wallet in the group has an 85% win rate across 249 events, which gives this coordinated bet more credibility than a random crowd move.
  • They were buying Elena Rybakina at 35-54¢, treating a 30¢ underdog as mispriced before the market swung hard toward Zheng.

$20,501 on Elena Rybakina

Sharp bettor caught 22¢ entry

A very active, highly profitable sports trader with a 72% win rate bought Qinwen Zheng at 22¢ just before the market doubled to 44¢, suggesting a sharp read rather than routine flow.

  • This bettor has won 2,548 of 3,517 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
  • They bought Qinwen Zheng at 22¢, and the price jumped to 44¢ within about 5 minutes
  • The move came from a trader active across 1,254 markets, which makes this look more like a seasoned bettor than a random whale

$2,796 on Qinwen Zheng | Wallet win rate: 73%

93% win-rate tennis bettor

A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet with nearly $489k in profit made a sizable pre-match buy on Elena Rybakina during an unusual volume spike, making this a strong follow signal despite the liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $489k across 184 bets
  • They bought $8.8k of Elena Rybakina at 79¢, a meaningful position from a proven sharp wallet
  • This match saw a 268x volume spike versus normal activity, suggesting stronger-than-usual conviction around this side

$8,837 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 94%

94% win-rate sports sharp

A proven sharp bettor with a 94% win rate and $2.08M profit bought Elena Rybakina at 79¢ during a major pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 94% of their trades and is up $2.08M across 223 resolved positions.
  • They trade heavily across sports markets — 493 markets over 392 events with the same 94% hit rate.
  • They bought Elena Rybakina at 79¢ as volume ran 213x above normal, signaling strong conviction ahead of the match.

$3,925 on Elena Rybakina | Wallet win rate: 93%

Pro sports sharp on underdog

A highly profitable high-volume sports trader with a 72% win rate bought the underdog at 20¢ during a massive pre-match volume surge, making this a credible sharp position worth watching.

  • This bettor has won 2,548 of 3,517 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
  • They bought Qinwen Zheng at 20¢, pricing her like a 1-in-5 shot and signaling a strong underdog view.
  • The market saw a 213x jump in activity before the match, which suggests sharper money is showing up.

$1,086 on Qinwen Zheng | Wallet win rate: 73%

Top Holders

  1. 0x138d...b23e Outcome 39666404, $7,500
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 39666404, $6,551 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x83d2...d196 Outcome 39666404, $6,000 (97% win rate)
  4. 0x7402...8020 Outcome 39666404, $4,033 (64% win rate)
  5. 0x01c7...e995 Outcome 39666404, $3,974 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x4b49...0397 Outcome 39666404, $2,000 (77% win rate)
  7. 0xd4aa...d40c Outcome 39666404, $1,981
  8. 0xfb85...8464 Outcome 39666404, $1,544 (78% win rate)
  9. 0x8f76...aea6 Outcome 39666404, $1,349 (80% win rate)
  10. 0xa065...b825 Outcome 39666404, $1,346 (19% win rate)

Related Theses

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Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

ResolvedMadrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina$75,530 tracked12 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Qinwen Zheng and Elena Rybakina in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Qinwen Zheng' if Qinwen Zheng advances against Elena Rybakina. This market will resolve to 'Elena Rybakina' if Elena Rybakina advances against Qinwen Zheng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$1,994 on Elena Rybakina at 90¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$11,169 on Qinwen Zheng at 13¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$15,902 on Qinwen Zheng at 46¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$1,676 on Elena Rybakina at 54¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$2,069 on Elena Rybakina at 53¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$20,501 on Elena Rybakina at 46¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$2,796 on Qinwen Zheng at 22¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$8,837 on Elena Rybakina at 79¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$3,925 on Elena Rybakina at 79¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$1,086 on Qinwen Zheng at 20¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

17d ago

$4,123 on Elena Rybakina at 79¢

Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakina

18d ago

$1,451 on Elena Rybakina at 80¢

Related Theses