Part of: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 BO3 quarterfinal between FURIA and 9z at the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, scheduled for June 18, 2026. It resolves to the team that wins the match, or 50-50 if the match is canceled, tied, or delayed more than 7 days without a winner. PolySpotter is tracking $1,200 in smart money across 1 signal, including activity from profitable and high-win-rate esports bettors.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between FURIA and 9z in the IEM Cologne Major Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 18 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against 9z. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,040.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
85% winner backing underdog
Sharp wallet override: bettor has an 85% resolved win rate with positive P&L and is backing the 9z underdog at 27¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $2,038 lifetime.
- They are backing 9z at 27¢, a contrarian underdog position against FURIA.
- Entry at 27¢ implies roughly a 3.7x payout if 9z wins.
$1,200 on 9z | Wallet win rate: 85%
Perfect-record esports sharp
Sharp esports wallet with a perfect 53-0 resolved record and $217,828 profit bought $3,700 of FURIA at 74¢.
- This bettor has won 53 of 53 resolved bets and is up $217,828 lifetime.
- They are buying FURIA at 74¢, implying confidence despite the market already pricing FURIA as the favorite.
- Their past wins came at average odds near 52%, so this record is not just from betting heavy favorites.
$3,700 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with 73% resolved win rate and +$511k lifetime P&L bought $8.1k of FURIA at 74¢.
- This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $511k lifetime.
- They have traded 197 events with $1.5M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports/esports edge.
- The $8.1k FURIA buy at 74¢ is a clear directional position, not a hedge.
$8,140 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 73%
96% winner buying big
Elite 96% winner with large lifetime profit is buying FURIA for more than the market's entire 24h volume.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $430K lifetime.
- Their $5K FURIA buy is bigger than the market’s entire 24h volume.
- They have traded 214 events with the same 96% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
$5,000 on FURIA | Wallet win rate: 96%
Top Holders
- 0x1610...ae49 — 9z, $19,041 (65% win rate)
- 0x9a4c...1f30 — FURIA, $11,000 (73% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — FURIA, $9,400 (57% win rate)
- 0x6902...b4ca — FURIA, $6,744 (96% win rate)
- 0xe111...685a — 9z, $6,000 (40% win rate)
- 0xda3a...381f — FURIA, $6,000 (52% win rate)
- 0xf268...ecf6 — 9z, $5,758 (85% win rate)
- 0xfe93...0d83 — 9z, $5,538
- 0x5e6e...be00 — 9z, $5,449 (51% win rate)
- 0x108d...b85d — FURIA, $5,000 (100% win rate)
Related Theses
LGD wins games two through four
Covers 3 related markets
T1 takes Game 2, Gen.G wins
Covers 4 related markets
