Part of: Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul
Madrid Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Tommy Paul
9 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,541.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New whale presses favorite
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and just put over $10.7k into this tennis market, mostly backing Tirante near 89-90¢ as the market ripped toward resolution.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already been flagged 13 times for large bets, with $46k in similar activity
- They put $9.7k on Tirante at 89-90¢, showing concentrated conviction rather than a tiny speculative punt
- Market activity exploded 46x above normal and price moved fast right after, suggesting strong momentum behind the move
$10,710 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 53%
New whale chasing surge
A brand-new wallet has repeatedly deployed large size and just put nearly $10k into the same side during an extreme volume surge in a fast-moving tennis market.
- A 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 12 large-bet alerts, with $45k flagged across its early activity.
- This wallet just put $9.7k on Thiago Agustin Tirante at 89-90¢ in two buys, showing concentrated conviction.
- Market volume is running 301x above normal and the price is up 58 points in a day, so this bettor is joining a strong move with size.
$9,705 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 53%
83% win-rate sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with an 83% hit rate bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 81¢ ahead of a major volume and price surge, and the market has already moved to 90¢.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades across 127 markets and has traded nearly $595k across 102 events
- They bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 81¢ before the market jumped to 90%, locking in a fast 9-point move
- This match saw a 301x volume spike, suggesting strong one-sided interest rather than a routine small bet
$14,722 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 83%
Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has repeatedly made large bets and just put over $9.1k into one side of a fast-moving tennis market, a pattern worth watching despite no resolved track record yet.
- This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts and put $41.8k into flagged trades
- It bought $9.2k of Thiago Agustin Tirante in two trades, showing concentrated conviction on one side
- Market activity is running 16.5x above normal and the price moved sharply today, so this bet came during a strong flow shift
$9,158 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 53%
93% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 93% win rate bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 39¢ during a sharp pre-match volume surge, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 93% of their resolved trades and is up about $444k across 175 bets.
- They bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 39¢, a price that implies roughly a 2.6x payout if they are right.
- This wallet has made nearly $492k across 80 sports events, and this market's volume just jumped 36.5x above normal.
$3,921 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 93%
Coordinated underdog steam
Coordinated buying pushed Thiago Agustin Tirante from the low 40s to the low 70s in a high-volume tennis market, led by a repeat new wallet and backed by two profitable high-activity bettors.
- Three wallets piled into Thiago Agustin Tirante for $12.3k as the price jumped from 42-47¢ to 72¢
- One wallet is just 1 day old and has already been flagged 10 times with $37k of large bets
- Two other wallets are profitable across thousands of bets, adding experienced flow behind the move
$12,348 on Thiago Agustin Tirante
Sharp bettor on underdog
A massively active sports bettor with a 73% win rate and $6.4M profit bought the underdog at 33¢, making this a credible sharp-money signal despite only one moderate-severity trigger.
- This bettor has won 2,534 of 3,495 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime.
- They have traded 1,153 markets across 959 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
- They bought Thiago Agustin Tirante at 33¢, a clear underdog price that suggests they see the true odds as meaningfully higher.
$3,256 on Thiago Agustin Tirante | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp funded-cluster bettor
A wallet with an 87% hit rate from a known 3-wallet funded cluster bought Tommy Paul at 68¢, making this a credible sharp-bettor signal despite the market being fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades with 31 picks tracked
- They are part of a 3-wallet group funded by the same address that has shown up in prior runs
- The bet was a concentrated $2.9k buy at 68¢ on the favorite, suggesting steady conviction rather than a random punt
$2,930 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 86%
Pro bettor backing favorite
A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with a 73% win rate is taking Tommy Paul at 68¢, making this routine-looking bet worth following despite the single-signal alert.
- This bettor has won 2,529 of 3,486 resolved trades and is up $6.4M lifetime
- They have bet $8.7M across 944 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off play
- They bought Tommy Paul at 68¢, pricing him as a strong favorite with room to follow up to about 75¢
$1,791 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 71%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 51698327, $99,245 (71% win rate)
- 0x8a6c...0b3f — Outcome 51698327, $30,074 (50% win rate)
- 0xc661...610a — Outcome 51698327, $4,308 (86% win rate)
- 0xe911...3d4e — Outcome 51698327, $3,163 (65% win rate)
- 0x9f7b...7f37 — Outcome 51698327, $2,855 (97% win rate)
- 0x661d...4dc6 — Outcome 51698327, $1,858 (68% win rate)
- 0x629d...756c — Outcome 51698327, $1,408
- 0xfb85...8464 — Outcome 51698327, $1,401 (78% win rate)
- 0xd4ac...5e19 — Outcome 51698327, $1,214 (71% win rate)
- 0xec69...6fba — Outcome 51698327, $973
