Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in June 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?
This Polymarket market asks whether the active-month WTI Crude Oil futures contract will trade at or above $100 during any June 2026 trading session, based on Pyth 1-minute candle data. It resolves after the June window, with resolution scheduled for July 1, 2026, and PolySpotter currently tracks $4,351 in smart-money activity across 1 signal.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of June 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "High" or "Low" price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe’s business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,615.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil thesis bettor
Profitable 74% winner is adding a $4.35k No bet as part of a broader $14.7k cross-market oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $257k lifetime.
- They have put $14.7k across 4 related oil markets, all pointing to a broader crude-price thesis.
- The market has moved toward No recently, with Yes down 31 points over the past week.
$4,351 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable cross-market oil bettor
Profitable 74% winner with $257k lifetime P&L is building a cross-market oil thesis against WTI hitting $100.
- This bettor has won 74% of 88 resolved trades and is up $257k lifetime.
- They have put over $10k across 4 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- This trade is already moving their way, with No bought at 65¢ and now around 68¢.
$1,622 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
86% win-rate oil bettor
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% win rate and $164k profit is effectively buying Yes on WTI hitting $100 despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $164k lifetime.
- They are a major cross-market trader with $5.2M deployed across 274 markets.
- Selling No at 63¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 37¢, a contrarian bet after the market fell 42% this week.
$1,482 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable wallet with a strong 88-bet track record is building a cross-market oil thesis, buying No on WTI hitting $100 in June.
- This bettor has won 74% of 88 resolved bets and is up about $258K lifetime.
- They are betting across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off trade.
- Entry at 65¢ backs the view that WTI stays below $100 in June despite the market already moving that way.
$1,620 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Profitable oil-ladder bettor
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a sizable cross-market oil thesis, betting No on $100 WTI as part of $164k across 9 related markets.
- This bettor is up about $198k lifetime and has traded over $13M in resolved markets.
- They have put $164k across 9 related oil-price markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- This trade buys No at 65¢ on WTI hitting $100, fading a high oil-price outcome.
$2,413 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable oil cross-market bettor
A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI thesis across 9 related markets with over $100k deployed, though this specific leg is modest and currently slightly underwater.
- This wallet is up $257k lifetime despite a low hit rate, suggesting it sizes winners well.
- The bettor has placed $100k across 9 related WTI markets, pointing to a broad oil-price thesis.
- This trade buys No at 54¢ on WTI reaching $100 in June, implying they think the market is overpricing an oil spike.
$3,496 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable oil thesis trader
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad cross-market thesis across 9 WTI June price markets, with this trade buying No on $100 after recent odds moved in that direction.
- This wallet is up $257k lifetime and has put $142k across 9 related WTI June markets.
- The trade backs No at 51¢ after the market moved 12 points toward No over the past day.
- This looks like part of a broader oil-price thesis rather than a one-off small bet.
$1,426 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
87% serial macro bettor
Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying No on a liquid crude oil market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $251K lifetime.
- They have traded across 170 events and 267 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- They bought No at 36¢, and the market has already moved to about 40¢.
$1,457 on No | Wallet win rate: 86%
Profitable oil cross-market whale
Profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad oil-price thesis across 9 related markets, making this SELL No equivalent to a BUY Yes at 53¢.
- This trader is up $246k lifetime and has placed $121k across 9 related oil markets.
- Selling No here is the same as buying Yes at 53¢ on WTI touching $100 in June.
- The market has already moved 5.5 points this week, backing up the direction of the trade.
$1,629 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable oil ladder bettor
A profitable high-volume macro wallet is making a sizable cross-market No bet on the WTI $100 level, with one fill nearly matching recent daily volume.
- This wallet is up $245k lifetime and has traded over $12.5M across resolved markets.
- They are betting across 9 related oil markets with $108k total positioned, suggesting a broader crude-oil thesis.
- One fill was about 90% of that market’s recent daily volume, showing real conviction in a relatively quiet market.
$5,192 on No | Wallet win rate: 44%
Top Holders
- 0x573e...703c — Yes, $61,010
- 0xe734...4f0c — No, $36,801 (44% win rate)
- 0x7a38...d6ab — Yes, $25,300 (60% win rate)
- 0xf467...935f — No, $20,398 (97% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — No, $15,244
- 0x1a29...9b2e — No, $12,500 (74% win rate)
- 0x72a0...c059 — No, $11,372 (52% win rate)
- 0xd36b...3d32 — Yes, $11,025 (43% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $9,569 (47% win rate)
- 0xd426...334a — No, $7,698 (43% win rate)
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