Part of: Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres

Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres

This Polymarket prediction market covers the Istanbul 3 tennis match between Mert Alkaya and Tiago Torres, scheduled for September 7, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; live odds and smart-money activity are available on the market page, which tracks $16,535 across one signal.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $39,035.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor scales into Tiago Torres

A profitable serial cross-market trader added $18.4K to an existing Tiago Torres position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, with the market moving sharply in the same direction.

  • This bettor is up $1.3M across 456 resolved trades and wins 60% of them.
  • They added $18,425 to an existing Tiago Torres position, bringing total market investment to over $50,000.
  • The market saw a 2,949x historical volume spike while Tiago Torres rose from entries as low as 46¢ to about 64¢.

$16,535 on Tiago Torres | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable bettor scales into Tiago Torres

A profitable serial cross-market trader added $18.4K to an existing Tiago Torres position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, with the market moving sharply in the same direction.

  • This bettor is up $1.3M across 456 resolved trades and wins 60% of them.
  • They added $18,425 to an existing Tiago Torres position, bringing total market investment to over $50,000.
  • The market saw a 2,949x historical volume spike while Tiago Torres rose from entries as low as 46¢ to about 64¢.

$18,425 on Tiago Torres | Wallet win rate: 60%

Serial bettor scaling into Mert

A serial cross-market bettor with 184 resolved trades added $4,075 to Mert Alkaya at 72%, reinforcing an existing position before the price rose to 81%.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 184 resolved trades across 52 events and is up $15,221.
  • They added $4,075 at 72% to an existing Mert Alkaya position before the market moved to 81%.
  • The trade represented more than twice the detected 24-hour volume, signaling notable conviction in a relatively thin market.

$4,075 on Mert Alkaya | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1610...ae49 Outcome 49448991, $32,408 (60% win rate)
  2. 0xa50f...8e6f Outcome 49448991, $7,703 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xf5a3...9e12 Outcome 49448991, $4,878
  4. 0x26a7...4fba Outcome 49448991, $753
  5. 0x2374...a426 Outcome 49448991, $638 (88% win rate)
  6. 0x7e36...d885 Outcome 49448991, $627
  7. 0x7547...d158 Outcome 49448991, $600
  8. 0x1b28...bf9f Outcome 49448991, $564
  9. 0xf970...f7f6 Outcome 49448991, $324 (67% win rate)
  10. 0x1d6d...f2b4 Outcome 49448991, $244

Related Theses

Astralis sweeps G2 series

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina advances in a high-scoring match

Covers 3 related markets

MOUZ rallies after dropping Map 1

Covers 3 related markets

Vitality wins series, drops Map 2

Covers 3 related markets

FUT take Map 1, Legacy series

Covers 3 related markets

Vitality Wins Series and First Two Maps

Covers 3 related markets

FURIA wins series; Aurora takes Map 2

Covers 3 related markets

FUT loses Map 1, wins series

Covers 3 related markets

Spirit wins every map-series market

Covers 4 related markets

France advances after 1-1 draw

Covers 3 related markets

Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres

2dIstanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres$39,035 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Mert Alkaya and Tiago Torres in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 7, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mert Alkaya' if Mert Alkaya advances against Tiago Torres. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Torres' if Tiago Torres advances against Mert Alkaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Tiago Torres
60¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres

3d ago

$16,535 on Tiago Torres at 57¢

Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres

3d ago

$18,425 on Tiago Torres at 57¢

Istanbul 3: Mert Alkaya vs Tiago Torres

3d ago

$4,075 on Mert Alkaya at 72¢

Related Theses

Astralis sweeps G2 series
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis…Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis…Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis…
Argentina advances in a high-scoring match
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to A…Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina…Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U…
MOUZ rallies after dropping Map 1
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…
Vitality wins series, drops Map 2
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…
FUT take Map 1, Legacy series
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT …Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT …Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT …
Vitality Wins Series and First Two Maps
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Sp…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Sp…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Sp…
FURIA wins series; Aurora takes Map 2
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Auror…Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Auror…Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Auror…
FUT loses Map 1, wins series
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…
Spirit wins every map-series market
Wallet_0x1610d trades 4 related markets
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs…
France advances after 1-1 draw
Wallet_0x1610d trades 3 related markets
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5France vs. Morocco: Team to Ad…France vs. Morocco: Both Teams…