LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket tracks who will win Game 1 of the League of Legends match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, scheduled for April 15. The market resolves to the team that officially wins Game 1, even if the full match is not completed after Game 1 ends. PolySpotter also shows smart money activity on this market, with $1,223 tracked across recent esports bettor signals.
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Invictus Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for April 15 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $28,594.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
96% win-rate esports sharp
A proven sharp sports trader with a 96% win rate bought Invictus Gaming during a fast 38-point move, and the market has since gone to 100%.
- This bettor wins 96% of their resolved trades with 73 wins and only 3 losses.
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 82¢ during a rapid 38-point move, and the market is now at 100¢.
- This wallet has traded across 27 related events for $82.6k total, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.
$1,223 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 96%
6-wallet esports pile-in
Six wallets piled into Invictus Gaming for $20.2k during a sharp pre-match repricing, led by at least one very strong high-volume bettor and several profitable cross-market traders.
- Six wallets bought Invictus Gaming for $20.2k as the price jumped from the mid-40s to 82¢ in minutes.
- One bettor in the cluster has an 82% win rate across 1,155 resolved markets, and another serial cross-market trader has bet $4.5M with an 82% win rate.
- They were buying as the market repriced hard, with some entries as low as 45¢ and 60¢ before Invictus Gaming moved to 82¢.
$20,160 on Invictus Gaming
6-wallet esports pile-in
A proven profitable cross-market trader joined a 6-wallet one-sided move into Weibo before a sharp 38-point collapse, suggesting this side drew real conviction even though the market has moved hard since entry.
- Six wallets bought Weibo Gaming in the same window, putting $8.7k on one side of this market
- This bettor has a real track record: 64% win rate across 76 settled bets and $68.4k profit
- They paid 63¢ before Weibo crashed to 20¢, so this is only worth studying as failed sharp flow rather than chasing now
$1,055 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
3-wallet dip buyers
Three wallets piled into Weibo Gaming during a sharp intraminute price dislocation, and two of the three have profitable cross-market histories, making this coordinated buy flow worth watching.
- Three wallets bought Weibo Gaming within minutes as the price snapped from 49-60¢ up to 64¢
- Two of the wallets are profitable overall, including one up $63k across 1,262 resolved bets
- Buying at 49-55¢ before a fast rebound suggests they saw a short-lived mispricing
$4,775 on Weibo Gaming
88% win-rate esports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 88% win rate bought Invictus Gaming at 40¢, making this a credible sharp-money position despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades across 1,169 bets and is up about $173k lifetime.
- They trade heavily across related markets — 335 events and 716 markets for $1.18M total volume.
- They bought Invictus Gaming at 40¢, while the market is now 36¢, suggesting a deliberate underdog entry rather than routine chasing.
$1,381 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0x6049...f14f — Invictus Gaming, $31,883
- 0x33ab...9523 — Invictus Gaming, $19,239
- 0x6842...20d0 — Weibo Gaming, $12,971 (46% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Invictus Gaming, $11,309 (54% win rate)
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Invictus Gaming, $11,000 (75% win rate)
- 0xd202...8973 — Weibo Gaming, $9,438 (45% win rate)
- 0xfc92...2e78 — Weibo Gaming, $6,870 (64% win rate)
- 0x8fd1...bfe8 — Weibo Gaming, $5,956 (61% win rate)
- 0x410d...d831 — Invictus Gaming, $5,608 (36% win rate)
- 0xf56e...2d64 — Weibo Gaming, $4,555 (63% win rate)
