Part of: Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $239,778.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Sharp sports bettor on No

Strong sports bettor with an 87% resolved win rate and $564k profit bought No before a sharp move from 61% to 78%.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $564k lifetime.
They bought No at 61¢ before it moved to 78¢, showing strong immediate market confirmation.
The market moved 34 percentage points in under 5 minutes with a tight 1¢ spread.

$1,702 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

98% win-rate football sharp

Elite 98% win-rate sports trader with serial cross-market success and linked-wallet backing bought Aston Villa Yes despite a slight pullback.

This bettor has won 40 of 41 resolved bets and is up $188k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 40 events with a 98% hit rate.
Three linked wallets share a funder, adding $6.7k of aligned activity around this market.

$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

98% sharp bettor cluster

Elite 98% winner with extensive cross-market history and linked-wallet backing bought Yes at 59¢ on a liquid soccer market.

This bettor has won 40 of 41 resolved trades and is up $188K lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 39 events with a 98% win record.
Three linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the Yes side.

$5,191 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 98%

87% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with an 87% win rate bought No despite the market currently pricing No much lower.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $564k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 104 events and $940k traded with the same 87% hit rate.
Bought No at 65¢ while the market now shows No near 42¢, so this is a sharp but now much cheaper contrarian entry.

$3,329 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp one-sided football fade

Five wallets including an 85% lifetime winner and a serial cross-market trader are buying Aston Villa No into a sharp 34-point move, with sell-Yes trades converting to the same No view.

Five wallets are all taking the same side, putting $11.9K behind Aston Villa not winning.
One buyer has won 85% of 1,939 resolved bets and is up $45K lifetime.
The market moved hard with them: No jumped about 34 points in under 5 minutes and is now 58%.

$11,885 on No

New sharp buying No

New 14-day wallet is repeatedly making sizable bets and already has a perfect 6-0 resolved record with strong profits, though this specific trade is modest in a very liquid market.

This new wallet is 6-for-6 on resolved bets and up $11,962 so far.
It has been flagged 3 times for sizable bets, with $4,827 total flagged activity.
Buying No at 60¢ follows strong market momentum against Aston Villa, with Yes down about 20 points today.

$1,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Proven bettor in Yes cluster

A proven 78% sports bettor and serial cross-market trader joined one-sided Yes flow, though the entry is now far above current market odds.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $32K across $201K invested.
Six wallets bought the same Yes outcome, with nearly $50K moving one way.
Market volume spiked 97x before the match, suggesting broader interest behind the move.

$1,959 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable last-minute sports flow

A profitable sports bettor joined a 6-wallet one-sided Aston Villa Yes push minutes before resolution amid a major volume spike, though the entry is now far above current odds.

This bettor wins 74% of resolved trades and is up $11.6K lifetime.
Six wallets bought the same side for nearly $50K just before resolution.
Volume spiked 97x normal, but this wallet entered at 65¢ while the market is now around 40¢.

$1,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 71%

Sharp cluster fading Villa

Four wallets pushed heavily into No, including one highly profitable 87% winner, while the price moved 34 points in minutes against Aston Villa winning.

A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $564K joined the No side.
Four wallets bought the same direction for $8.5K total, pushing No from 54¢ to 66¢.
The market moved 34 points in under 5 minutes, suggesting strong momentum against an Aston Villa win.

$8,472 on No

Coordinated Yes flow

Worth surfacing due to coordinated same-side flow, a major pre-event volume spike, and a very experienced cross-market sports trader despite this specific entry now being underwater.

6 wallets bought the same side, putting nearly $50K behind Aston Villa to win.
Market activity spiked 97x above its normal level, suggesting a sudden wave of attention before the match.
This wallet is highly active across 573 events with a 61% hit rate, though its lifetime P&L is negative.

$4,424 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 61%

Top Holders

0xa136...97de — Outcome 39989728, $268,823 (100% win rate)
0x8a6c...0b3f — Outcome 39989728, $38,462 (50% win rate)
0x7d4d...8525 — Outcome 39989728, $30,312 (98% win rate)
0x571c...c16a — Outcome 39989728, $26,713 (54% win rate)
0x0ebb...cb1a — Outcome 39989728, $15,385 (72% win rate)
0x2cfa...0738 — Outcome 39989728, $10,500
0xae2b...90ea — Outcome 39989728, $9,651 (61% win rate)
0x4607...d542 — Outcome 39989728, $5,516 (100% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 39989728, $4,275 (55% win rate)
0xf747...7d29 — Outcome 39989728, $3,059 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

O'Higgins won't win match

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?

ResolvedBurnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC$239,778 tracked14 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If Aston Villa FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.