Part of: China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino

China Open, Qualification: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Adrian Mannarino

This market refers to the tennis match between Miomir Kecmanovic and Adrian Mannarino in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miomir Kecmanovic' if Miomir Kecmanovic advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Miomir Kecmanovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $141,009.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Mannarino buying surge

Five wallets bought Mannarino for $115,916 amid a 151x volume spike and a sharp move against Kecmanovic, though the alerted wallet is a historically losing trader taking profit on an existing position.

Five wallets bought Adrian Mannarino for a combined $115,916.
Trading volume spiked to 151 times its historical average as Kecmanovic's odds fell sharply.
The alerted wallet has lost $168,668 overall and was selling an existing Kecmanovic position, so the cluster—not this wallet's track record—is the stronger signal.

$58,477 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 43%

5-wallet Mannarino cluster

Five wallets committed $76.5K toward Mannarino amid a 57.7x volume spike, making the coordinated flow notable despite mixed position histories.

Five wallets positioned for Mannarino, with $76,520 in same-direction activity.
Trading volume surged to 57.7 times its historical average, alongside a reported 45-point price move.
One participating bettor has a 66% win rate and is up $8.3M lifetime, though its win rate is only modestly above its average winning price.

$76,520 on Adrian Mannarino

Profitable serial trader fades Mannarino

A highly experienced, profitable serial trader sold Mannarino at 70%, equivalent to backing Kecmanovic at 30%, and the market has since shifted 20 points toward Kecmanovic.

This bettor has won 83% of 1,194 resolved bets and is up $366,300.
They sold Mannarino at 70%, equivalent to buying Kecmanovic at 30%; the market has since moved 20 points toward Kecmanovic.
The trader has positioned across 670 events, though the current 50% price is above their equivalent entry.

$1,244 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 84%

Proven bettor backing Mannarino

A highly profitable, experienced trader bought Mannarino as a sharp volume spike and price rise supported the position.

This bettor has won 83% of 1,193 resolved trades and is up about $366,000.
A 36.4× volume spike accompanied a 21-point rise in Mannarino’s price.
The wallet bought Mannarino at 90¢, near the current 88% market odds.

$1,600 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 84%

Profitable serial trader amid sharp market move

A profitable high-volume trader backed Mannarino amid a 36.4x volume spike and a 21-point price rise, though the wallet's win rate alone does not establish an edge.

This trader is up $519K across nearly $12.5M invested and bought Mannarino at 73¢.
Market volume spiked 36.4x its historical average as Mannarino's price rose 21 points.
The price has since climbed to 88¢, well above the trader's entry.

$1,068 on Adrian Mannarino | Wallet win rate: 61%

93% winner with $2.69M profit

A highly profitable bettor with 2,823 resolved positions and a reported 93% win rate bought Kecmanovic at 56¢ despite the market now trading at 52¢.

This bettor has won 93% of 2,823 resolved positions and made $2.69M in profit.
They put $1,100 on Kecmanovic at 56¢; the market is now at 52¢.
The wallet has traded across 804 events, showing an extensive record beyond this match.

$1,100 on Miomir Kecmanovic | Wallet win rate: 93%