Part of: Norway vs. Senegal
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 22, 2026 If Norway wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,739,011.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games
Notable Trades
Coordinated No flow
Coordinated one-sided No buying plus a 74x pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet's weak lifetime P&L.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling about $253K on No.
- Market volume spiked 74x above normal ahead of the match.
- This entry at 59¢ implies roughly 69% upside to the suggested copy ceiling.
$76,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%
44-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow with 44 wallets, a profitable new repeat whale, major volume spike, and a 32-point price move makes this a high-conviction momentum trade.
- 44 wallets bought the same side, totaling $281,872 in Yes bets.
- This new wallet is already up $40,617 and has been flagged 11 times for large bets.
- The market moved from 67¢ to 90¢ after heavy volume, showing strong momentum behind Norway.
$50,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Elite 85% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 85% record and +$420k lifetime P&L bought Norway Yes at 90¢ amid a major volume spike and sharp price move to 94¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $420k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 52 events with $211k in tracked similar activity.
- Norway Yes jumped 24 points with a 19x volume spike, and this entry at 90¢ is already marked up to 94¢.
$4,694 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp bettor caught Norway move
Sharp 88% win-rate sports bettor bought Norway Yes before a major coordinated move and price jump from 66% to 90%.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $45k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 66¢ before the market surged to 90¢.
- 44 wallets also bought the same side, with $282k of one-sided flow.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Elite bettor joins Yes wave
Elite profitable sports bettor bought Norway Yes at 67¢ amid a large one-sided cluster and major price move to 90¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $3.8M lifetime.
- 44 wallets bought the same side, totaling $281.9K, with 6 linked by shared funding.
- The trade entered at 67¢ before Yes moved to 90¢, so the edge is strongest only on a pullback.
$5,360 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%
44-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow with 44 wallets, a profitable new repeat whale, major volume spike, and a 32-point price move makes this a high-conviction momentum trade.
- 44 wallets bought the same side, totaling $281,872 in Yes bets.
- This new wallet is already up $40,617 and has been flagged 11 times for large bets.
- The market moved from 67¢ to 90¢ after heavy volume, showing strong momentum behind Norway.
$2,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
32-wallet Yes surge
High-confidence coordinated flow: 32 wallets bought Norway Yes for nearly $496k alongside a repeat new-wallet whale and a major pre-event volume spike.
- 32 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $496k on Norway Yes.
- This 5-day-old wallet has now triggered 3 large-bet alerts with $74k flagged in total.
- Market volume spiked 123x before the game, suggesting a broad rush into this position.
$15,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
27-wallet No wave
Surfaced despite this wallet’s poor record because 27 wallets put $431k on No alongside a major pre-event volume spike, creating a notable coordinated-flow signal.
- 27 wallets are all buying No, totaling $431k in the same direction.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 42x above its historical average.
- The specific wallet here has a weak long-term record, so the coordinated flow matters more than this bettor alone.
$2,150 on No | Wallet win rate: 47%
27-wallet No cluster
High-scoring alert driven by 27 wallets buying No for $431K amid a major volume spike, though this specific new wallet lacks a proven track record and the price has moved against the entry.
- 27 wallets bought the same side, totaling $431K on No.
- This market saw a 42x volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy pre-game positioning.
- The bettor is a 2-day-old repeat large buyer, but has no proven winning record yet.
$2,710 on No | Wallet win rate: 0%
Sharp contrarian No cluster
Huge coordinated contrarian No flow includes several profitable traders, though it is fighting a larger Yes move that has pushed Norway to 90%.
- 36 wallets put $253k on No, a large coordinated fade of Norway at much higher prices.
- Several bettors in the flow have strong records, including one up $1.96M lifetime and another winning 82% of 534 resolved trades.
- This is contrarian: Yes has since surged to 90%, so No is now far cheaper than the cluster’s ~34¢ entry.
$253,178 on No
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — No, $4,312,373 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $1,060,046
- 0xe549...2d54 — No, $499,993 (99% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — No, $361,003 (70% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — No, $330,125 (95% win rate)
- 0x03e8...1697 — No, $205,000 (58% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — No, $199,765 (81% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — No, $134,000 (58% win rate)
- 0x2e69...858d — No, $100,000 (94% win rate)
- 0xc1da...fefa — No, $99,999 (89% win rate)
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