Part of: Norway vs. Senegal
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
50 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,739,011.
Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games
Notable Trades
44-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow with 44 wallets, a profitable new repeat whale, major volume spike, and a 32-point price move makes this a high-conviction momentum trade.
- 44 wallets bought the same side, totaling $281,872 in Yes bets.
- This new wallet is already up $40,617 and has been flagged 11 times for large bets.
- The market moved from 67¢ to 90¢ after heavy volume, showing strong momentum behind Norway.
$50,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Coordinated No flow
Coordinated one-sided No buying plus a 74x pre-event volume spike makes this worth surfacing despite the lead wallet's weak lifetime P&L.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling about $253K on No.
- Market volume spiked 74x above normal ahead of the match.
- This entry at 59¢ implies roughly 69% upside to the suggested copy ceiling.
$76,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%
Elite 85% sports bettor
Elite sports bettor with an 85% record and +$420k lifetime P&L bought Norway Yes at 90¢ amid a major volume spike and sharp price move to 94¢.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up about $420k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 52 events with $211k in tracked similar activity.
- Norway Yes jumped 24 points with a 19x volume spike, and this entry at 90¢ is already marked up to 94¢.
$4,694 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor caught Norway move
Sharp 88% win-rate sports bettor bought Norway Yes before a major coordinated move and price jump from 66% to 90%.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $45k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 66¢ before the market surged to 90¢.
- 44 wallets also bought the same side, with $282k of one-sided flow.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
44-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow with 44 wallets, a profitable new repeat whale, major volume spike, and a 32-point price move makes this a high-conviction momentum trade.
- 44 wallets bought the same side, totaling $281,872 in Yes bets.
- This new wallet is already up $40,617 and has been flagged 11 times for large bets.
- The market moved from 67¢ to 90¢ after heavy volume, showing strong momentum behind Norway.
$2,345 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Elite bettor joins Yes wave
Elite profitable sports bettor bought Norway Yes at 67¢ amid a large one-sided cluster and major price move to 90¢.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $3.8M lifetime.
- 44 wallets bought the same side, totaling $281.9K, with 6 linked by shared funding.
- The trade entered at 67¢ before Yes moved to 90¢, so the edge is strongest only on a pullback.
$5,360 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
32-wallet Yes surge
High-confidence coordinated flow: 32 wallets bought Norway Yes for nearly $496k alongside a repeat new-wallet whale and a major pre-event volume spike.
- 32 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling about $496k on Norway Yes.
- This 5-day-old wallet has now triggered 3 large-bet alerts with $74k flagged in total.
- Market volume spiked 123x before the game, suggesting a broad rush into this position.
$15,660 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
27-wallet No wave
Surfaced despite this wallet’s poor record because 27 wallets put $431k on No alongside a major pre-event volume spike, creating a notable coordinated-flow signal.
- 27 wallets are all buying No, totaling $431k in the same direction.
- Market activity is surging, with volume running 42x above its historical average.
- The specific wallet here has a weak long-term record, so the coordinated flow matters more than this bettor alone.
$2,150 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%
27-wallet No cluster
High-scoring alert driven by 27 wallets buying No for $431K amid a major volume spike, though this specific new wallet lacks a proven track record and the price has moved against the entry.
- 27 wallets bought the same side, totaling $431K on No.
- This market saw a 42x volume spike, suggesting unusually heavy pre-game positioning.
- The bettor is a 2-day-old repeat large buyer, but has no proven winning record yet.
$2,710 on No | Wallet win rate: 0%
Sharp contrarian No cluster
Huge coordinated contrarian No flow includes several profitable traders, though it is fighting a larger Yes move that has pushed Norway to 90%.
- 36 wallets put $253k on No, a large coordinated fade of Norway at much higher prices.
- Several bettors in the flow have strong records, including one up $1.96M lifetime and another winning 82% of 534 resolved trades.
- This is contrarian: Yes has since surged to 90%, so No is now far cheaper than the cluster’s ~34¢ entry.
$253,178 on No
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — Outcome 77014409, $4,312,373 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 77014409, $1,060,046
- 0xe549...2d54 — Outcome 77014409, $499,993 (98% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Outcome 77014409, $361,003 (64% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — Outcome 77014409, $330,125 (90% win rate)
- 0x03e8...1697 — Outcome 77014409, $205,000 (58% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 77014409, $199,765 (81% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — Outcome 77014409, $134,000 (65% win rate)
- 0x2e69...858d — Outcome 77014409, $100,000 (93% win rate)
- 0xc1da...fefa — Outcome 77014409, $99,999 (89% win rate)
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