Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $122,746.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

73% winner buying Over

A proven high-volume soccer bettor with a 73% record bought Over while broader one-sided flow and event-level positioning point the same way, despite the market moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 460 resolved bets and is up about $56.9K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $6.3M bet across 203 events and a strong long-term record.
  • Five wallets bought Over in the same window for $15.5K total, though the price has since fallen from 44¢ to 29¢.

$3,833 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%

83% winner joined Over cluster

A highly profitable 83% win-rate wallet bought Over alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-game volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $97.9K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 85 events with $325K placed and the same 83% win rate.
  • Four wallets bought Over together, while market volume spiked 24x before the match.

$1,180 on Over | Wallet win rate: 83%

Serial trader joined Under cluster

A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Under at 34¢ alongside a 5-wallet one-sided Under cluster and a large pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has traded 101 markets across 79 events and is up $41k lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same Under side for $22k total, pointing to coordinated conviction.
  • The entry at 34¢ has already moved to 52¢, so the edge was strongest before the price jump.

$1,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 66%

Coordinated Under flow

Surface due to coordinated Under flow across 5 wallets plus a strong pre-event volume spike, though this specific wallet is closing an Over position rather than opening a clean new Under bet.

  • Five wallets are all pushing the same way, with $22.1K total flowing into Under.
  • Market volume is running 13.4x above its normal pace before kickoff.
  • This wallet has traded 94 related sports markets and is modestly profitable, up $12.1K lifetime.

$1,180 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%

88% winner bought Under

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Under 2.5 at 25¢ before the market moved to 36¢.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $117k lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 153 events with the same 88% hit rate.
  • They bought Under at 25¢ before it moved to 36¢, suggesting the market followed their side.

$3,282 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%

Sharp six-wallet Under surge

A six-wallet cluster put $40.9k effectively on Under, including a highly profitable 89% winner, while volume spiked and the market moved sharply toward Under.

  • A bettor who wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $220k joined this Under move.
  • Six wallets put $40.9k on the same side, mostly around 46¢ before Under jumped to 71¢.
  • Volume spiked 24x and Over fell 17 points, showing the market quickly followed this flow.

$40,942 on Under

Profitable repeat whale buys Over

A profitable repeat large bettor put $24.4k on Over amid a sharp pre-event volume spike, though the market is liquid and the wallet's win rate is mixed.

  • This repeat large bettor is up $189k lifetime on $1.86M traded.
  • They bought $24.4k of Over at 28–29¢ across two back-to-back trades.
  • Pre-game volume is running 54x above its historical pace, adding momentum to the move.

$24,369 on Over | Wallet win rate: 47%

82% winner buying Under

Sharp 82% lifetime sports bettor with strong profits is buying Under 2.5 before kickoff amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $63.5K lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 109 events with the same 82% win rate.
  • Market volume is surging 58x before kickoff, supporting the Under move.

$1,006 on Under | Wallet win rate: 82%

80% winner backs Under

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% record and positive lifetime P&L is buying Under near kickoff.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $21.7K lifetime.
  • Their past wins came at about 52¢ on average, suggesting real edge rather than just buying heavy favorites.
  • They bought Under at 71¢ shortly before kickoff, backing a low-scoring game.

$2,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

Sharp bettor backing Over

Surface due to a profitable 83% win-rate bettor joining coordinated Over buying, though the signal is tempered by opposing Under flow and the price moving against the entries.

  • One Over buyer wins 83% of their resolved bets and is up about $97.9K lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought $6.3K of Over, alongside heavy event-wide positioning across related markets.
  • Caution: entries were 58–70¢ and Over has since fallen to 48¢, while a larger $22.1K Under cluster also appeared.

$6,284 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Under, $198,277 (51% win rate)
  2. 0xe549...2d54 Under, $135,355 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x3535...a775 Over, $83,981 (47% win rate)
  4. 0x3dfb...abaf Over, $55,555 (46% win rate)
  5. 0x4f12...8140 Over, $49,154 (86% win rate)
  6. 0x9243...658e Under, $36,650 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x6880...cf03 Over, $36,182 (85% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Under, $32,112 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x4f29...7a7e Over, $31,121 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x204f...5e14 Over, $29,166 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

Spurs win high-scoring game

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England Ghana ends 1-1

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Argentina-Austria stays low scoring

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Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close

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Tunisia keeps Japan close

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Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring

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Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low

Covers 6 related markets

Spain Argentina or England wins

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Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring

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Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

ResolvedMexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets$122,746 tracked15 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup
Over
5¢
Under
96¢

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Ecuador
ECU
0
World Cup
Live
90'+7'
Mexico
MEX
2
Polymarket: 5¢
Venue
Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Price History — “Under
99¢
74¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

21h ago

$3,833 on Over at 44¢

44¢5¢39¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

21h ago

$1,180 on Over at 58¢

58¢5¢53¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

22h ago

$1,500 on Under at 34¢

34¢96¢62¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

22h ago

$1,180 on Under at 43¢

43¢96¢53¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

22h ago

$3,282 on Under at 25¢

25¢96¢71¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

21h ago

$40,942 on Under at 46¢

46¢96¢50¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$24,369 on Over at 29¢

29¢5¢24¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$1,006 on Under at 72¢

72¢96¢24¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$2,000 on Under at 71¢

71¢96¢25¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

22h ago

$6,284 on Over at 65¢

65¢5¢60¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

22h ago

$11,422 on Under at 69¢

69¢96¢27¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$1,300 on Under at 69¢

69¢96¢27¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

1d ago

$2,070 on Under at 69¢

69¢96¢27¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

3d ago

$20,377 on Under at 68¢

68¢96¢28¢

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

3d ago

$2,000 on Under at 67¢

67¢96¢29¢

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Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
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Spain Argentina or England wins
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Bosnia-Qatar stays low scoring
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