Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Mexico and Ecuador, scheduled for June 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mexico and Ecuador combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $165,623.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying Over
Six profitable sports-heavy wallets clustered into Over, including two very sharp wallets, but the market has since moved sharply against their entry.
- Six wallets put $10.6K on the same side, all effectively buying Over.
- The group includes bettors with strong records, including one who has won 91% of 23 resolved bets and another at 80% over 81 bets.
- Their average entry was around 30¢, while Over is now 4¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow rather than a clean momentum trade.
$10,641 on Over
73% winner buying Over
A proven high-volume soccer bettor with a 73% record bought Over while broader one-sided flow and event-level positioning point the same way, despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 460 resolved bets and is up about $56.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $6.3M bet across 203 events and a strong long-term record.
- Five wallets bought Over in the same window for $15.5K total, though the price has since fallen from 44¢ to 29¢.
$2,146 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp serial sports winner
Sharp 89% winner effectively backed Under at 58¢ before the market collapsed toward Under, with strong cross-market history and confirmed profit.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $220K lifetime.
- They effectively bought Under at 58¢ before it moved to 96¢.
- This wallet has traded 107 markets across 80 events with the same 89% hit rate.
$1,713 on Under | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial soccer bettor
High composite alert from a profitable serial cross-market bettor joining one-sided Over flow, though the market has moved against the entry so far.
- This bettor has won 62% of 125 resolved bets and is up about $70k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same Over side for $17.4k around this market.
- The bettor entered Over at 25¢, and the market is now cheaper around 20¢ after a sharp move down.
$1,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 54%
73% winner buying Over
A proven high-volume soccer bettor with a 73% record bought Over while broader one-sided flow and event-level positioning point the same way, despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 460 resolved bets and is up about $56.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $6.3M bet across 203 events and a strong long-term record.
- Five wallets bought Over in the same window for $15.5K total, though the price has since fallen from 44¢ to 29¢.
$3,833 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
83% winner joined Over cluster
A highly profitable 83% win-rate wallet bought Over alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-game volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $97.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 85 events with $325K placed and the same 83% win rate.
- Four wallets bought Over together, while market volume spiked 24x before the match.
$1,180 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
Serial trader joined Under cluster
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Under at 34¢ alongside a 5-wallet one-sided Under cluster and a large pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 101 markets across 79 events and is up $41k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same Under side for $22k total, pointing to coordinated conviction.
- The entry at 34¢ has already moved to 52¢, so the edge was strongest before the price jump.
$1,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 68%
Coordinated Under flow
Surface due to coordinated Under flow across 5 wallets plus a strong pre-event volume spike, though this specific wallet is closing an Over position rather than opening a clean new Under bet.
- Five wallets are all pushing the same way, with $22.1K total flowing into Under.
- Market volume is running 13.4x above its normal pace before kickoff.
- This wallet has traded 94 related sports markets and is modestly profitable, up $12.1K lifetime.
$1,180 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%
88% winner bought Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Under 2.5 at 25¢ before the market moved to 36¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $117k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 153 events with the same 88% hit rate.
- They bought Under at 25¢ before it moved to 36¢, suggesting the market followed their side.
$3,282 on Under | Wallet win rate: 91%
Sharp six-wallet Under surge
A six-wallet cluster put $40.9k effectively on Under, including a highly profitable 89% winner, while volume spiked and the market moved sharply toward Under.
- A bettor who wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $220k joined this Under move.
- Six wallets put $40.9k on the same side, mostly around 46¢ before Under jumped to 71¢.
- Volume spiked 24x and Over fell 17 points, showing the market quickly followed this flow.
$40,942 on Under
Related Theses
Spurs win high-scoring game
Covers 3 related markets
England Ghana ends 1-1
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina-Austria stays low scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Cabo Verde keeps high-scoring match close
Covers 3 related markets
Tunisia keeps Japan close
Covers 4 related markets
Iran New Zealand odds mispriced
Covers 3 related markets
Argentina Algeria stays low-scoring
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium-Senegal ends with four goals
Covers 4 related markets
Scotland-Brazil stays tight and low
Covers 6 related markets
Spain Argentina or England wins
Covers 3 related markets
