Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador - More Markets
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $165,623.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying Over
Six profitable sports-heavy wallets clustered into Over, including two very sharp wallets, but the market has since moved sharply against their entry.
- Six wallets put $10.6K on the same side, all effectively buying Over.
- The group includes bettors with strong records, including one who has won 91% of 23 resolved bets and another at 80% over 81 bets.
- Their average entry was around 30¢, while Over is now 4¢, making this a high-risk contrarian follow rather than a clean momentum trade.
$10,641 on Over
73% winner buying Over
A proven high-volume soccer bettor with a 73% record bought Over while broader one-sided flow and event-level positioning point the same way, despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 460 resolved bets and is up about $56.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $6.3M bet across 203 events and a strong long-term record.
- Five wallets bought Over in the same window for $15.5K total, though the price has since fallen from 44¢ to 29¢.
$2,146 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%
Sharp serial sports winner
Sharp 89% winner effectively backed Under at 58¢ before the market collapsed toward Under, with strong cross-market history and confirmed profit.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $220K lifetime.
- They effectively bought Under at 58¢ before it moved to 96¢.
- This wallet has traded 107 markets across 80 events with the same 89% hit rate.
$1,713 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Profitable serial soccer bettor
High composite alert from a profitable serial cross-market bettor joining one-sided Over flow, though the market has moved against the entry so far.
- This bettor has won 62% of 125 resolved bets and is up about $70k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same Over side for $17.4k around this market.
- The bettor entered Over at 25¢, and the market is now cheaper around 20¢ after a sharp move down.
$1,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 64%
73% winner buying Over
A proven high-volume soccer bettor with a 73% record bought Over while broader one-sided flow and event-level positioning point the same way, despite the market moving against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 460 resolved bets and is up about $56.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, with $6.3M bet across 203 events and a strong long-term record.
- Five wallets bought Over in the same window for $15.5K total, though the price has since fallen from 44¢ to 29¢.
$3,833 on Over | Wallet win rate: 73%
83% winner joined Over cluster
A highly profitable 83% win-rate wallet bought Over alongside one-sided cluster flow and a large pre-game volume spike, making this worth surfacing despite the price moving against the entry.
- This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $97.9K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 85 events with $325K placed and the same 83% win rate.
- Four wallets bought Over together, while market volume spiked 24x before the match.
$1,180 on Over | Wallet win rate: 83%
Serial trader joined Under cluster
A profitable serial cross-market sports trader bought Under at 34¢ alongside a 5-wallet one-sided Under cluster and a large pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has traded 101 markets across 79 events and is up $41k lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same Under side for $22k total, pointing to coordinated conviction.
- The entry at 34¢ has already moved to 52¢, so the edge was strongest before the price jump.
$1,500 on Under | Wallet win rate: 67%
Coordinated Under flow
Surface due to coordinated Under flow across 5 wallets plus a strong pre-event volume spike, though this specific wallet is closing an Over position rather than opening a clean new Under bet.
- Five wallets are all pushing the same way, with $22.1K total flowing into Under.
- Market volume is running 13.4x above its normal pace before kickoff.
- This wallet has traded 94 related sports markets and is modestly profitable, up $12.1K lifetime.
$1,180 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%
88% winner bought Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Under 2.5 at 25¢ before the market moved to 36¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $117k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 153 events with the same 88% hit rate.
- They bought Under at 25¢ before it moved to 36¢, suggesting the market followed their side.
$3,282 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp six-wallet Under surge
A six-wallet cluster put $40.9k effectively on Under, including a highly profitable 89% winner, while volume spiked and the market moved sharply toward Under.
- A bettor who wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $220k joined this Under move.
- Six wallets put $40.9k on the same side, mostly around 46¢ before Under jumped to 71¢.
- Volume spiked 24x and Over fell 17 points, showing the market quickly followed this flow.
$40,942 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x3535...a775 — Outcome 93185345, $83,981 (47% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 93185345, $55,555 (47% win rate)
- 0x4f12...8140 — Outcome 93185345, $49,154 (86% win rate)
- 0x8806...2e83 — Outcome 93185345, $40,813 (72% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 93185345, $31,121 (54% win rate)
- 0x3a06...d694 — Outcome 93185345, $15,212
- 0x482a...c85d — Outcome 93185345, $15,000 (79% win rate)
- 0xb87b...3626 — Outcome 93185345, $15,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x06f2...1269 — Outcome 93185345, $14,630 (54% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Outcome 93185345, $11,000 (52% win rate)
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