Part of: Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

This Polymarket market covers whether Alejandro Tabilo or Rafael Jodar advances in their Rolex Paris Masters match, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. Current odds are not included in the provided market metadata; the page lists a November 9 resolution date, while its rules state a November 16 deadline if no winner has been determined.

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $33,848.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven 82% winner buying Jodar

A highly profitable, large-sample bettor bought Rafael Jodar amid a 176x volume spike, making this a credible trade despite the odds ticking down afterward.

  • This bettor has won 82% of 1,677 resolved bets and is up $805,042.
  • Their $3,555 buy came during a 176x spike in market trading volume.
  • They entered at 87¢; the current price is 84¢, so the odds have moved slightly against the trade.

$3,555 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 82%

96% winner adding to Jodar

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to Rafael Jodar amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 54 of 56 resolved positions and is up $5,682.
  • They are adding to an existing Rafael Jodar position after a 225× volume spike.
  • The trade entered at 82¢, below the current 86¢ odds.

$1,422 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 96%

Proven bettors add to Jodar

Three profitable, experienced bettors added $21,173 to Rafael Jodar, including a wallet with a 96% win rate, alongside a major volume spike.

  • Three wallets put $21,173 more on Rafael Jodar at 80–82¢, and all already held positions in the same direction.
  • One bettor has won 54 of 56 resolved positions at an average win price of 62%; the other two are also profitable long-term bettors.
  • Trading volume spiked to 133.6 times its historical average during the coordinated buying.

$21,173 on Rafael Jodar

Profitable serial trader adds to Jodar

A highly experienced profitable trader with an 80% win rate is adding nearly $5,700 to an existing Rafael Jodar position.

  • This bettor has won 80% of 982 resolved trades and is up about $110,600.
  • They added nearly $5,700 to an existing Rafael Jodar position, bringing their investment to about $12,700.
  • The trader has positioned across 468 events, and the current entry is 81¢.

$5,698 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly profitable bettor with 1,231 resolved trades and an extensive cross-market track record bought Rafael Jodar for $2,000, though the entry price is close to current odds.

  • This bettor has won 81% of 1,231 resolved trades and is up about $808,000.
  • They have traded across 445 events and put $2,000 on Rafael Jodar at 79¢.
  • The 79¢ entry is close to the market’s current 78% odds, so there is little obvious price discount.

$2,000 on Rafael Jodar | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7750...a3f3 — Alejandro Tabilo, $29,461 (28% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 — Alejandro Tabilo, $28,612 (56% win rate)
  3. 0x2a69...d2f7 — Rafael Jodar, $25,112 (70% win rate)
  4. 0x2180...08f0 — Alejandro Tabilo, $22,876 (78% win rate)
  5. 0x09be...9c32 — Rafael Jodar, $21,701 (96% win rate)
  6. 0x45e4...7e20 — Alejandro Tabilo, $18,560 (49% win rate)
  7. 0x5c50...e0c9 — Alejandro Tabilo, $17,884 (27% win rate)
  8. 0x7091...96f8 — Rafael Jodar, $17,566 (74% win rate)
  9. 0x821d...cf16 — Rafael Jodar, $14,943 (53% win rate)
  10. 0x492b...45ee — Rafael Jodar, $11,640 (51% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Tommy Paul beats Altmaier

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar$33,848 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames
Alejandro Tabilo
0¢
Rafael Jodar
100¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Rafael Jodar in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Rafael Jodar. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Rafael Jodar”
102¢
88¢
75¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

2026-11-02 12:49 UTC

$3,555 on Rafael Jodar at 87¢

87¢→100¢↑13¢

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

2026-11-02 12:30 UTC

$1,422 on Rafael Jodar at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

2026-11-02 12:13 UTC

$21,173 on Rafael Jodar at 80¢

80¢→100¢↑20¢

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

2026-11-02 12:19 UTC

$5,698 on Rafael Jodar at 81¢

81¢→100¢↑19¢

Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodar

2026-11-01 15:55 UTC

$2,000 on Rafael Jodar at 79¢

79¢→100¢↑21¢

Related Theses