Part of: Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,105.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor hits quiet market

A profitable high-volume sports bettor placed a $1.1k Braves spread bet that dwarfed prior activity in a quiet market.

  • This bettor is up $66k lifetime across 734 resolved bets.
  • The $1.1k buy was about 96x the market’s prior 24h volume, suggesting strong conviction in a quiet book.
  • Entry at 61¢ implies they see value despite the market currently sitting slightly lower around 58–59¢.

$1,097 on Atlanta Braves | Wallet win rate: 53%

Thin-market $1k sports bet

A $1k bet on an extremely quiet MLB spread market is notable, but the wallet’s 88% win rate is tempered by negative lifetime P&L and high-priced wins.

  • A $1,008 bet landed in a market with only $11 of 24h volume and $540 liquidity.
  • This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved trades, though mostly by buying high-probability outcomes.
  • Entry at 84¢ backs Boston +4.5 as a high-confidence favorite side.

$1,008 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 82684604, $1,708 (64% win rate)
  2. 0x2386...4986 Outcome 82684604, $1,200 (88% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 82684604, $132 (63% win rate)
  4. 0xc978...706b Outcome 82684604, $28
  5. 0x4f43...c0c2 Outcome 82684604, $20
  6. 0x5210...bd53 Outcome 82684604, $19
  7. 0xab6b...f517 Outcome 82684604, $11
  8. 0x1df6...cba0 Outcome 82684604, $10
  9. 0xd7f9...29a9 Outcome 82684604, $10
  10. 0xb3ec...f645 Outcome 82684604, $5

Related Theses

Athletics beat Brewers comfortably

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Spurs win by double digits

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Angels win, not close

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Angels avoid narrow victory

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Reds cover, avoid eight runs

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Dodgers win by two

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No narrow Rangers victory

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Knicks cover against Spurs

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Yankees crush the Guardians

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Nationals win wild scoring swing

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)

ResolvedAtlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox$2,105 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for May 28 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game by 5 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ATL
10
38-19
Final
BOS
2
23-32
ATL -142BOS +118O/U 6.5
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
30,901

Notable Trades

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)

53d ago

$1,097 on Atlanta Braves at 61¢

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)

54d ago

$1,008 on Boston Red Sox at 84¢

Related Theses