Part of: Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-05-13?
This prediction market asks whether Philadelphia Union will win their scheduled MLS game on May 13, 2026, counting only the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It resolves “Yes” if Philadelphia Union wins, and “No” if they draw, lose, or if the game is canceled with no make-up game. PolySpotter is tracking $4,732 in smart money activity, including 1 signal and recent sharp interest leaning toward NO.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 13, 2026 If Philadelphia Union wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,250.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, MLS
Notable Trades
87% winner-led cluster
Surface because a highly profitable 87% winner and two other large serial bettors are clustered on the same No side despite a liquid market.
- A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades is buying No and is up $2.24M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $4.7K on No.
- The other two bettors are also experienced, with $5.84M and $123K in lifetime profit.
$4,732 on No
Elite 87% sports bettor
Elite high-volume wallet with an 87% win rate and $2.24M profit bought Philadelphia Union No, supported by serial cross-market success.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $2.24M lifetime.
- They have traded 600 events across 730 markets with the same 87% win rate.
- Entry at 57¢ on No is already marked to 60¢, suggesting the market moved in their direction.
$1,272 on No | Wallet win rate: 87%
92% win sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% long-run win rate and strong cross-market history bought $3,000 of Philadelphia Union Yes at 43¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $145k lifetime.
- They have traded across 78 events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 43¢ implies they see Philadelphia Union as underpriced versus the market.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable sports sharp
Sharp profitable wallet with a 79% record is buying No into a strong pre-event volume spike on a liquid Philadelphia Union match market.
- This bettor has won 11 of 14 resolved bets and is up $125K lifetime.
- They are buying No at 58¢ while market volume is running 70x above its usual pace.
- Entry at 58¢ suggests they see Philadelphia failing to win as meaningfully underpriced.
$1,705 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable sharp buys NO
Sharp profitable soccer bettor with a 79% record is buying No during a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 79% of resolved trades and is up $125k lifetime.
- They are buying No at 57¢ on a liquid soccer market, implying confidence Philadelphia does not win in regulation.
- The market saw a large pre-event volume spike, adding momentum behind the position.
$1,542 on No | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0x912a...2e6a — No, $42,749 (79% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Yes, $13,037 (50% win rate)
- 0xb2fe...7558 — Yes, $6,977 (92% win rate)
- 0xd81f...6b75 — Yes, $5,851 (47% win rate)
- 0xf285...ab24 — Yes, $4,500
- 0x6d3c...d294 — Yes, $4,219 (51% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — No, $4,155 (87% win rate)
- 0x9495...9a27 — No, $3,017 (64% win rate)
- 0x5d1d...afd2 — No, $2,846 (55% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — No, $2,574 (51% win rate)
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