Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin
This prediction market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Casper Ruud and Roman Safiullin, scheduled for May 25, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 1, 2026 if the match is completed within the market rules. PolySpotter is tracking $9,191 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp activity on both the favorite and underdog.
29 smart money signals detected, totaling $180,389.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster fading favorite
Four wallets, including a 91% winner and a serial cross-market trader, faded Casper Ruud into Roman Safiullin, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $289K joined the Roman Safiullin side.
- Four wallets put $7.6K on the same longshot direction, including sells of Casper Ruud that convert to Roman exposure.
- The market moved against them afterward, so this is a high-risk contrarian trade rather than clean momentum.
$7,644 on Roman Safiullin
92% winner backing favorite
A proven 92% win-rate sports bettor bought Casper Ruud at 90¢ amid strong price momentum and pre-event volume.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $29,738 lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 38 events traded with the same 92% win rate.
- Bought Ruud at 90¢ before the market moved to 92¢, with the price up 21.5 percentage points.
$1,547 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor buying upset
A highly profitable 88% win-rate wallet bought $11.7k of Roman Safiullin alongside one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike, despite the market moving sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up about $750k lifetime.
- They put $11.7k on Roman Safiullin, joining 7 wallets betting the same side for $31.9k total.
- The market saw a 36x volume spike, though Roman has fallen from their entries to 21¢.
$11,661 on Roman Safiullin | Wallet win rate: 88%
Sharp wallet joins 7-wallet fade
A highly profitable 91% win-rate wallet exited Casper Ruud while a 7-wallet cluster bought Roman Safiullin amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up about $290K lifetime.
- Seven wallets are positioned the same way on Roman Safiullin, totaling nearly $32K.
- The trade effectively backed Roman at 27¢ while market volume spiked 36x before the match.
$4,156 on Roman Safiullin | Wallet win rate: 92%
97% winner buying Safiullin
A very high-performing wallet bought Roman Safiullin alongside coordinated one-sided flow, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $51,493 lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Roman Safiullin in the same window for about $31,941 total.
- Safiullin has fallen from this wallet’s 69¢ entry to 21¢, making this a contrarian follow at a much cheaper price.
$1,294 on Roman Safiullin | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp underdog cluster
Surface because multiple highly profitable sports wallets clustered into Roman Safiullin, though the signal is messy after a sharp adverse live-market move and opposing Casper flow.
- 10 wallets bought $40k of Safiullin, including bettors with 97%, 100%, and 88% records.
- One buyer is up $749k lifetime with 28 wins in 32 resolved bets, and another is 147-4 with $51k profit.
- Price has fallen to 26¢ from their 43-89¢ entries, so this is a discounted but volatile live-match follow.
$40,274 on Roman Safiullin
Sharp bettor flips to Ruud
A highly profitable 86% winner flipped into Casper Ruud alongside 9-wallet one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a sharp price move.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $45.7K lifetime.
- They flipped from Roman Safiullin into Casper Ruud, buying Ruud around 45¢ before the move to 74¢.
- Nine wallets bought the same side for $27.6K as volume spiked 64x.
$6,993 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 86%
Elite bettor caught Ruud move
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Casper Ruud at 38¢ before a major move to 74¢, alongside strong one-sided flow, volume spike, and price impact.
- This bettor has won 71% of 8,654 resolved bets and is up $12.4M lifetime.
- They bought Casper Ruud at 38¢ before the market jumped to 74¢.
- Nine wallets have backed the same side for $27.6K, with volume spiking 64x above normal.
$1,895 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable bettor joins Ruud cluster
High-scoring tennis alert with a profitable serial cross-market bettor joining 9-wallet one-sided Ruud flow before a major price move from 51¢ to 74¢.
- This bettor has won 71% of 214 resolved bets and is up $41.6K lifetime.
- Nine wallets bought Casper Ruud the same way, totaling $27.6K in one-sided flow.
- Ruud moved sharply from this bettor’s 51¢ entry to 74¢, backed by a 64x pre-event volume spike.
$1,857 on Casper Ruud | Wallet win rate: 72%
89% winner backs underdog
A highly profitable 89% lifetime winner bought Roman Safiullin despite the market later moving sharply against the position, making the wallet track record the main signal.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $35.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 33 events with the same 89% hit rate.
- They paid 72¢ for Roman Safiullin, while the market now prices him around 56¢.
$2,044 on Roman Safiullin | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0xe30e...6b87 — Outcome 24482422, $35,351 (88% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 24482422, $22,018 (91% win rate)
- 0xa080...234f — Outcome 24482422, $21,925 (50% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 24482422, $13,081 (64% win rate)
- 0xbca1...dd13 — Outcome 24482422, $12,230 (71% win rate)
- 0xdc0c...218a — Outcome 24482422, $11,684 (91% win rate)
- 0xde19...3c92 — Outcome 24482422, $11,430 (83% win rate)
- 0x66b1...340f — Outcome 24482422, $11,188 (79% win rate)
- 0xafac...8730 — Outcome 24482422, $10,075 (60% win rate)
- 0x26e7...cc6c — Outcome 24482422, $7,932 (74% win rate)
