Part of: AS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,754.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, sea

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor exits No late

Surfaced because a highly profitable 82% winner exited No at an effective 63¢ Yes price before Yes ran to 94%, though this looks more like closing a prior position than a fresh open.

  • This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $1.5M lifetime.
  • They sold No at 37¢, equivalent to buying Yes at 63¢, before Yes jumped to 94¢.
  • This is a serial cross-market trader across 227 events with $2.4M deployed.

$1,584 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 66%

97% winner backs Yes

Strong copy-trade candidate: a proven sports bettor with a 97% historical win rate put $20k on AS Roma Yes at 63¢.

  • This bettor has won 59 of 61 resolved positions and is up $359k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 99 events with a 97% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • The $20k entry at 63¢ implies they still see value despite Roma already being favored.

$20,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%

77% winner backs YES

A profitable sports bettor with a 77% record and strong edge is buying AS Roma Yes at 62¢.

  • This bettor has won 23 of 30 resolved bets and is up $23.6K lifetime.
  • Their wins came at average 45¢ odds, suggesting a strong track record on underpriced outcomes.
  • Entry at 62¢ implies they still see value despite Roma already being the favorite.

$2,170 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%

Top Holders

  1. 0xad6a...9dbd Outcome 64928329, $11,370 (38% win rate)
  2. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 64928329, $7,894 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x6203...6280 Outcome 64928329, $4,740 (38% win rate)
  4. 0xc6b1...78fd Outcome 64928329, $3,834 (93% win rate)
  5. 0x4379...2e16 Outcome 64928329, $3,000 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x180a...54a6 Outcome 64928329, $2,451 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x0780...b0e9 Outcome 64928329, $1,949 (81% win rate)
  8. 0x8f9a...3f4b Outcome 64928329, $1,697
  9. 0x54ea...f74a Outcome 64928329, $1,687 (57% win rate)
  10. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 64928329, $1,476

Related Theses

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Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?

ResolvedAS Roma vs. ACF Fiorentina$23,754 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccersea

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 4, 2026 If AS Roma wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?

8d ago

$1,584 on Yes at 63¢

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?

8d ago

$20,000 on Yes at 63¢

Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?

8d ago

$2,170 on Yes at 62¢

Related Theses