Three wallets bought No within 4 minutes for $15.1k total, a clear one-sided pre-match push. One wallet is only 3.5 hours old and has already been flagged repeatedly for large bets, including a $9.4k buy here. The market saw a 31.7x volume spike, so this cluster is part of a broader rush into the same side.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.65M across nearly $24.8M invested. They put $24.5k on Yes at 32¢ while this market saw a 434x volume spike before kickoff. Entry at 32¢ suggests they see the draw as materially more likely than the market's current 30-31¢ pricing.

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,355.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

New wallet, perfect start

A 5-day-old wallet with six large-bet alerts, early profits, and a perfect 5-for-5 record is adding fresh size on a liquid soccer market, making this a credible new sharp wallet to watch.

This 5-day-old wallet is 5 for 5 on resolved bets and already up $3.6k.
It has triggered 6 large-bet alerts and put over $9.2k to work, suggesting repeat high-conviction betting.
Bought No at 68¢, a clear view that the match is more likely than not to avoid a draw.

$1,088 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial live timer

A highly profitable serial timer with $1.8M P&L bought No just 3.3 minutes before this live soccer market resolved, a pattern that has produced strong results across many markets.

This bettor has won 3,301 of 5,217 resolved trades and is up $1.8M overall.
They bought No 3.3 minutes before resolution, and they have 28 similar last-minute bets across 16 markets.
Entry at 70¢ came in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread, suggesting a deliberate live read rather than a random swing.

$2,654 on No | Wallet win rate: 68%

3-wallet No cluster

Three wallets piled $15.1k into No within minutes, led by a brand-new repeat bettor, creating a coordinated pre-match signal worth watching despite mixed historical quality.

Three wallets bought No within 4 minutes for $15.1k total, a clear one-sided pre-match push.
One wallet is only 3.5 hours old and has already been flagged repeatedly for large bets, including a $9.4k buy here.
The market saw a 31.7x volume spike, so this cluster is part of a broader rush into the same side.

$15,124 on No

Sharp bettor on draw

A proven high-volume bettor with a 75% win rate and $2.65M profit bought $24.5k into a match-draw market during an extreme pre-event volume spike, making this a credible signal despite the liquid market.

This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is up $2.65M across nearly $24.8M invested.
They put $24.5k on Yes at 32¢ while this market saw a 434x volume spike before kickoff.
Entry at 32¢ suggests they see the draw as materially more likely than the market's current 30-31¢ pricing.

$24,489 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 47973044, $17,847 (67% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 47973044, $6,842 (73% win rate)
0x84ad...bfb7 — Outcome 47973044, $6,575
0x9d94...017d — Outcome 47973044, $3,432
0xc686...5a55 — Outcome 47973044, $1,653 (22% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 67259360, $904
0x033b...5e3f — Outcome 47973044, $703
0x3fcb...f5eb — Outcome 47973044, $474
0xfb71...b5a0 — Outcome 47973044, $308
0x86be...4490 — Outcome 47973044, $306 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Will RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?

Resolved$43,355 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 12, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.