Part of: Cerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-17?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,346.

Categories: Sports, Japan J League, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

90% winner buying favorite

Surfaced despite a low composite score because a high-volume profitable bettor bought $5.1k of Yes while the market was moving sharply upward.

This bettor has won 90% of 1,501 resolved bets and is up $2.2k lifetime.
They bought $5.1k at 85¢, a large share of recent volume in this soccer market.
Yes has jumped about 44 points in the past day, and this trade helped push it higher.

$5,146 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 84%

Sharp sports bettor buying favorite

Sharp wallet override: an 88% winner with positive P&L bought $1.2k of Yes and appears to have helped drive a fast upward move.

This bettor has won 88% of resolved bets and is up $1,043 lifetime on $6,331 invested.
They bought $1,200 of Yes at 80¢ as the market jumped 12 points in under 4 minutes.
The current ask near 82¢ is still close to their entry, leaving room to follow below the 90¢ ceiling.

$1,200 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Top Holders

0xf5d1...cdc9 — Outcome 93473828, $1,571 (62% win rate)
0x2ecb...7645 — Outcome 93473828, $310 (49% win rate)
0xfece...ef64 — Outcome 93473828, $216
0xd37a...2358 — Outcome 93473828, $112 (76% win rate)
0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 93473828, $108
0x2cca...c457 — Outcome 93473828, $94
0x0178...3f7a — Outcome 93473828, $83 (93% win rate)
0x005a...1349 — Outcome 93473828, $82
0x9079...b19b — Outcome 93473828, $73 (75% win rate)
0xca52...d0a4 — Outcome 93473828, $71

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Chong Won-oh wins Seoul mayoralty

Covers 2 related markets

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-17?

ResolvedCerezo Ōsaka vs. Nagoya Grampus$6,346 tracked2 signalsSportsJapan J LeagueGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 17, 2026 If Cerezo Ōsaka wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades