Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC - More Markets

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

This Premier League spread market asks whether Arsenal FC will beat Burnley FC by 2 or more goals on May 18, 2026. It resolves to Arsenal FC if Arsenal covers the -1.5 spread, or to Burnley FC if Arsenal wins by 1, draws, or loses, based on the official final score from premierleague.com. PolySpotter is tracking $1,533 in smart money activity and 1 recent signal for this market.

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for May 18 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Burnley FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,033.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

91% winner backs favorite

Surfacing because a highly proven bettor with a 91% win rate and $93k lifetime profit bought Arsenal -1.5 at 73¢.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $93k lifetime.
  • They have 379 resolved positions, so the track record is much stronger than a one-off hot streak.
  • Entry at 73¢ suggests they still see value despite Arsenal already being the clear favorite.

$1,533 on Arsenal FC | Wallet win rate: 91%

79% serial sports winner

Surfacing because this is a proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L buying Arsenal -1.5.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $61.7K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 183 events with nearly $2.0M in total activity.
  • Buying Arsenal at 75¢ implies confidence despite the market already pricing Arsenal -1.5 as likely.

$1,000 on Arsenal FC | Wallet win rate: 79%

Proven serial sports bettor

A proven serial cross-market sports bettor with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Arsenal -1.5 at 74¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $61.7K lifetime.
  • They have traded 204 markets across 182 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
  • Entry at 74¢ implies they see Arsenal -1.5 as underpriced despite a liquid order book.

$1,000 on Arsenal FC | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable new wallet scaling

A 12-hour-old wallet with repeated large flagged bets and early perfect results is buying Arsenal -1.5 at 75¢.

  • This brand-new wallet is already up $4.2K with 6 wins and no losses.
  • It has been flagged 5 times in 12 hours, with nearly $19K in notable positions.
  • Buying at 75¢ suggests strong confidence Arsenal win by 2+ goals.

$2,500 on Arsenal FC | Wallet win rate: 100%

Sharp bettor fading favorite

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and strong lifetime profit is taking Burnley +1.5 at 25¢.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $152,808 lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market track record across 28 events with $111,350 in similar activity.
  • Buying Burnley at 25¢ goes against the 74% favorite price and implies a potential 4x payout if Arsenal fails to win by 2+.

$3,000 on Burnley FC | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc2fb...b9f0 Arsenal FC, $17,794 (79% win rate)
  2. 0xeb73...53b0 Burnley FC, $16,928 (77% win rate)
  3. 0x7c58...a5a1 Arsenal FC, $15,000 (91% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 Burnley FC, $8,954 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x39d3...9ef0 Burnley FC, $6,210 (44% win rate)
  6. 0xdb83...1e50 Burnley FC, $4,201 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x7ea5...de7b Burnley FC, $3,673 (64% win rate)
  8. 0xbd09...7f92 Arsenal FC, $3,316 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xdd5e...9040 Arsenal FC, $2,800 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x6d3c...d294 Arsenal FC, $2,188 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

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Covers 1 related market

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

5hArsenal FC vs. Burnley FC - More Markets$9,033 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL
Arsenal FC
72¢
Burnley FC
28¢

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for May 18 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arsenal FC" if Arsenal FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Burnley FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Arsenal FC
77¢
74¢
70¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

1h ago

$1,533 on Arsenal FC at 73¢

73¢72¢1¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

9h ago

$1,000 on Arsenal FC at 75¢

75¢72¢3¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

9h ago

$1,000 on Arsenal FC at 74¢

74¢72¢2¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

15h ago

$2,500 on Arsenal FC at 75¢

75¢72¢3¢

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

1d ago

$3,000 on Burnley FC at 25¢

25¢28¢3¢

Related Theses