Part of: Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl

Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Hugo Gaston vs Liam Draxl

This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Liam Draxl in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hugo Gaston' if Hugo Gaston advances against Liam Draxl. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Hugo Gaston. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $24,976.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

89% winner joins Gaston cluster

A highly profitable bettor sold Liam Draxl while three other wallets joined a $13,269 coordinated buy on Hugo Gaston, alongside a sharp volume spike.

This bettor has won 89% of 63 resolved bets and is up $88,025 overall.
Four wallets put $13,269 on Hugo Gaston, including this bettor selling Liam Draxl.
Trading the opposite side of Liam’s 65¢ price is equivalent to buying Gaston at 35¢; market volume was 85.8× its historical average.

$2,507 on Hugo Gaston | Wallet win rate: 89%

Veteran whales back Draxl amid opposing flow

Three highly experienced wallets bought $11.2K of Liam Draxl amid an 85.8x volume spike, though a larger opposing Gaston cluster makes the signal mixed.

Three experienced wallets put $11.2K behind Draxl; one is up $53.4M lifetime.
Trading volume spiked 85.8× its historical average as Draxl buying pushed beyond the recent price range.
An opposing four-wallet Gaston cluster bought $13.3K, so the market’s overall conviction is split.

$12,647 on Liam Draxl

Profitable serial trader backs Gaston

A profitable bettor with 124 resolved trades and a 75% win rate made a $1,084 wager on Gaston, though the market price has since fallen below their entry.

This bettor has won 93 of 124 resolved trades and is up $21,596.
They put $1,084 on Hugo Gaston at 56¢; the market is now around 46¢, moving against their entry.
The wallet has traded across 37 events, suggesting a sustained cross-market approach.

$1,084 on Hugo Gaston | Wallet win rate: 77%

93% winner adding to Gaston

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% record is adding $1,000 to an existing Gaston position, supported by a serial cross-market track record.

This bettor has won 97 of 104 resolved trades and is up nearly $20,000.
They added $1,000 to an existing Gaston position at 44¢, despite the market currently pricing him near 42¢.
The wallet has traded across 29 events and maintains a 93% win rate.

$1,000 on Hugo Gaston | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner backs the underdog

A highly profitable bettor with 208 wins in 223 resolved positions is buying Liam Draxl at 42¢, supported by a long-running cross-market record.

This bettor has won 208 of 223 resolved positions and is up $6.7M.
They are buying Liam Draxl at 42¢, with the market currently pricing him at 42%.
The wallet has placed bets across 85 events and 90 markets, showing a sustained record rather than a one-off trade.

$3,738 on Liam Draxl | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% winner adding to Gaston

A proven, highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate is adding $4,000 to an existing Hugo Gaston position.

This bettor has won 582 of 609 resolved positions and is up $856,271.
They added $4,000 to an existing Hugo Gaston position at 59¢, despite the market currently pricing him at 58%.
The wallet has traded across 484 events, showing an extensive history beyond this match.

$4,000 on Hugo Gaston | Wallet win rate: 93%