Part of: UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)

O/U 3.5 Rounds

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,700.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

90% sharp loading Over

Elite 90% win-rate wallet with $2.7M lifetime profit bought $14.5K of Over, dwarfing recent market volume and coinciding with a major pre-event spike.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $2.7M lifetime.
  • They put $14.5K on Over, nearly 4x the market’s 24h volume.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market trader across 729 events with the same 90% win rate.

$14,500 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable whale on thin prop

A high-volume profitable wallet placed a $7.4k Over bet that was more than double the market’s 24h volume, alongside a major pre-fight volume spike.

  • This high-volume bettor is up $335k lifetime across 3,507 resolved trades.
  • The $7.4k Over bet was about 2.4x this market’s prior 24h volume.
  • Pre-fight trading spiked sharply, suggesting fresh attention on a normally quiet UFC prop.

$7,375 on Over | Wallet win rate: 52%

Perfect-record UFC bettor

Sharp bettor with a perfect 24/24 resolved record and strong profit is buying Over in a relatively quiet UFC rounds market.

  • This bettor has won 24 of 24 resolved positions and is up $29.6K lifetime.
  • They bought Over at 60¢, a trade worth 59% of this market’s 24h volume.
  • The market is still modestly traded, so this size suggests real conviction.

$1,825 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa65c...509d Outcome 77322202, $471 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x04db...f0fd Outcome 77322202, $80
  3. 0xdb90...c03d Outcome 77322202, $54
  4. 0x2f22...468b Outcome 77322202, $50
  5. 0x834e...73c1 Outcome 77322202, $29
  6. 0x2a80...2dad Outcome 77322202, $29
  7. 0x025a...2ffd Outcome 77322202, $25
  8. 0xedd9...ec1f Outcome 77322202, $13
  9. 0x9525...b927 Outcome 77322202, $12
  10. 0xf5dc...0f05 Outcome 77322202, $10

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

O/U 3.5 Rounds

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Belal Muhammad and Gabriel Bonfim at UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim, scheduled for June 6, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 4. “Under 3.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 4. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 4 for a 3.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 20, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

O/U 3.5 Rounds

25d ago

$14,500 on Over at 60¢

O/U 3.5 Rounds

25d ago

$7,375 on Over at 59¢

O/U 3.5 Rounds

25d ago

$1,825 on Over at 60¢

Related Theses