Part of: Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $637,561.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

20-wallet Spirit buying cluster

A 20-wallet, $431,713 Spirit cluster drove a sharp move from roughly 50% to 62%, including participation from highly profitable bettors.

  • 20 wallets committed $431,713 to Spirit, while the market moved about 12 percentage points in Spirit's favor.
  • One participating bettor has a 92% win rate across 939 resolved positions, with another showing an 81% win rate.
  • The flow is concentrated rather than purely broad market activity, though some wallets already held Spirit positions and a smaller group bought Vitality.

$431,713 on Spirit

94% winner backs Spirit

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate placed a concentrated $26.6K bet on Spirit amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 274 resolved positions and earned $9.6M in profit.
  • They placed a concentrated $26,598 bet on Spirit at 42¢, below the current 44¢ market price.
  • The trade coincided with a 257.8× historical volume spike, signaling unusually strong event-specific conviction.

$55,900 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

19-wallet linked Vitality accumulation

A highly coordinated 19-wallet Vitality accumulation, including linked funding and proven high-win-rate traders, represents strong contrarian conviction despite recent price weakness.

  • Nineteen wallets bought $94,253 of Vitality, with linked funding indicating coordinated conviction.
  • A participating bettor has won 84% of 266 resolved positions while entering at roughly 50% odds.
  • Vitality has fallen 20% in a day and trades near 36%, creating a potentially favorable entry if the coordinated thesis is correct.

$101,149 on Vitality

94% winner backs Spirit

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 94% win rate placed a concentrated $26.6K bet on Spirit amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 274 resolved positions and earned $9.6M in profit.
  • They placed a concentrated $26,598 bet on Spirit at 42¢, below the current 44¢ market price.
  • The trade coincided with a 257.8× historical volume spike, signaling unusually strong event-specific conviction.

$26,598 on Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% win-rate bettor backs Vitality

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $6,000 buy on Vitality at 56%.

  • This bettor has won 124 of 127 resolved trades and is up $1.92 million.
  • The fresh $5,996 Vitality position was entered at 56%, matching the current market price.
  • They have traded across 76 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable sports-market edge.

$4,564 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 98%

96% win-rate esports sharp scaling Vitality

A highly profitable esports trader with a 96% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $9,141 to an existing Vitality position.

  • This bettor has won 96% of 156 resolved positions and is up $517,174.
  • They are adding $9,141 to an existing Vitality position at 57%, showing increased conviction rather than routine profit-taking.
  • The wallet has traded 272 markets across 242 events, providing unusually strong evidence of sustained skill.

$9,141 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% win-rate bettor backs Vitality

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 98% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $6,000 buy on Vitality at 56%.

  • This bettor has won 124 of 127 resolved trades and is up $1.92 million.
  • The fresh $5,996 Vitality position was entered at 56%, matching the current market price.
  • They have traded across 76 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable sports-market edge.

$5,996 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 98%

Proven esports bettor backs Vitality

A highly profitable sports bettor with 1,421 resolved bets and a substantial edge is backing Vitality at 56%.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 1,421 resolved bets and is up $1.66 million.
  • Their results show a 23-point edge over implied odds, with $19.35 million invested across 420 events.
  • Vitality is being bought at 56%, while the market currently prices the matchup at roughly 56%.

$2,500 on Vitality | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 99349301, $150,000 (85% win rate)
  2. 0xa69d...509b Outcome 99349301, $116,655 (61% win rate)
  3. 0x73e3...1be9 Outcome 99349301, $100,092 (98% win rate)
  4. 0x91da...1bc1 Outcome 99349301, $61,365 (71% win rate)
  5. 0xf559...f462 Outcome 99349301, $50,900 (91% win rate)
  6. 0x2418...66c8 Outcome 99349301, $42,061 (61% win rate)
  7. 0x0562...18a4 Outcome 99349301, $39,266 (69% win rate)
  8. 0x6261...4adb Outcome 99349301, $33,413 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x7d78...29a5 Outcome 99349301, $28,772 (81% win rate)
  10. 0xf377...4159 Outcome 99349301, $25,000 (86% win rate)

Related Theses

Karmine wins, games split early

Covers 3 related markets

Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2

Covers 3 related markets

Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp

Covers 3 related markets

Bilibili takes games, Dplus series

Covers 3 related markets

Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA

Covers 3 related markets

LGD Gaming Wins All Markets

Covers 3 related markets

FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE will sweep Top Esports

Covers 3 related markets

JD Gaming wins series 2-1

Covers 3 related markets

Team WE wins, fails to ascend

Covers 4 related markets

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

ResolvedCounter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$637,561 tracked8 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Vitality and Spirit in the Esports World Cup Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win the match against Spirit. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win the match against Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “Spirit
74¢
57¢
41¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

2d ago

$431,713 on Spirit at 50¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

2d ago

$55,900 on Spirit at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

2d ago

$101,149 on Vitality at 34¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

2d ago

$26,598 on Spirit at 42¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

2d ago

$4,564 on Vitality at 56¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

2d ago

$9,141 on Vitality at 57¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

3d ago

$5,996 on Vitality at 56¢

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

3d ago

$2,500 on Vitality at 56¢

Related Theses

Karmine wins, games split early
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Gen.G Wins Series, T1 Takes Game 2
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Espor…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winn…LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winn…
Sentinels sweep Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels…
Bilibili takes games, Dplus series
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus …
Karmine Corp sweeps Dplus KIA
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA…
LGD Gaming Wins All Markets
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gami…
FaZe sweeps EYEBALLERS
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs …
Team WE will sweep Top Esports
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - …LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (B…LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - …
JD Gaming wins series 2-1
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Leg…
Team WE wins, fails to ascend
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 4 related markets
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Ga…Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs T…