Miami Marlins vs. Athletics

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $44,884.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Coordinated underdog buy

Surfaced due to coordinated Athletics buying with a pre-game volume spike and price impact, though the lead wallet's long-term P&L is negative and the price has since moved against the entry.

Three wallets bought the same side, putting $6.1K on the Athletics in the scan window.
This market saw a 16.3x volume spike and a 21-point move toward the Athletics.
The lead bettor is highly active across sports, with 1,346 resolved trades, though lifetime P&L is negative.

$1,088 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 60%

One-sided Marlins steam

Coordinated Miami Marlins buying during a sharp pre-game volume spike pushed the price from this bettor's 56¢ entry to 68¢, though the lead wallet has poor lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $5.8K on Miami Marlins.
Volume spiked 22.8x versus normal activity and the market has moved 21 points in the last day.
This entry was early at 56¢, before the price climbed to 68¢.

$1,269 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports bettor took a contrarian Athletics position during a major pre-game volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has a long record: 1,565 resolved bets, a 66% win rate, and $278K in lifetime profit.
They bought Athletics at 32¢ during a 40.8x pre-game volume spike, suggesting a contrarian view on the underdog.
The price has since fallen to 18¢, so the same side is now available much cheaper than their entry.

$6,400 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial bettor

A highly active profitable bettor bought Miami at 74¢ during a sharp pre-game volume spike, and the market has already moved to 82¢.

This bettor is up $607K lifetime across nearly 9,000 resolved markets.
They bought $5.3K of Miami at 74¢ before the price moved to 82¢.
The market saw a 40x pre-game volume spike, suggesting broader momentum behind the same side.

$5,353 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 57%

Linked cluster buying underdog

High-scoring coordinated Athletics buy: four wallets put about $15k on the same side, with linked-wallet evidence and a pre-game volume spike despite mixed wallet track records.

Four wallets are effectively buying Athletics, totaling about $15k on the underdog side.
Some wallets appear linked through the same funder, which makes the one-sided move look coordinated rather than random.
Volume is running 22.8x above normal before the game, suggesting this market is drawing unusual attention.

$14,955 on Athletics

One-sided Marlins steam

Coordinated Miami Marlins buying during a sharp pre-game volume spike pushed the price from this bettor's 56¢ entry to 68¢, though the lead wallet has poor lifetime P&L.

Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $5.8K on Miami Marlins.
Volume spiked 22.8x versus normal activity and the market has moved 21 points in the last day.
This entry was early at 56¢, before the price climbed to 68¢.

$1,550 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 62%

Coordinated underdog buy

Surfaced due to coordinated Athletics buying with a pre-game volume spike and price impact, though the lead wallet's long-term P&L is negative and the price has since moved against the entry.

Three wallets bought the same side, putting $6.1K on the Athletics in the scan window.
This market saw a 16.3x volume spike and a 21-point move toward the Athletics.
The lead bettor is highly active across sports, with 1,346 resolved trades, though lifetime P&L is negative.

$3,690 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 60%

Coordinated underdog buyers

Coordinated underdog buying from multiple wallets plus a pre-game volume spike makes this Athletics position worth watching, especially since this profitable high-volume wallet effectively bought at 42¢.

Three wallets are all betting the same way on the Athletics, totaling about $6.1K in one-sided flow.
This market saw a 16.3x pre-game volume spike, suggesting fresh attention before first pitch.
This wallet has traded heavily and is up about $984K lifetime, despite the position moving against them so far.

$1,007 on Athletics | Wallet win rate: 54%

Coordinated MLB steam move

Coordinated one-sided Marlins buying came with a major volume spike and pushed the price from 73% to 90%, despite the lead wallet having only a modest long-term hit rate.

Four wallets bought the Marlins the same way, totaling $16.5K of one-sided flow.
The market saw a 49x volume spike and the Marlins price jumped 38 percentage points.
This wallet bought $8.5K at 73¢ before the move to 90¢.

$8,500 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 56%

99% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven sports bettor with a 99% resolved win rate and $307k lifetime profit bought Miami Marlins at 44¢.

This bettor has won 331 of 334 resolved positions and is up $307,763 lifetime.
They are a serial sports trader across 289 events with a 99% hit rate.
Entry at 44¢ implies they see Miami as meaningfully underpriced versus the market.

$1,071 on Miami Marlins | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0x9a4c...1f30 — Outcome 77863659, $25,182 (53% win rate)
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 77863659, $13,644 (73% win rate)
0xde49...fe85 — Outcome 77863659, $10,000 (83% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 77863659, $5,471 (57% win rate)
0x418d...88a3 — Outcome 77863659, $2,400 (75% win rate)
0x519d...37a1 — Outcome 77863659, $1,900
0x8753...85ad — Outcome 77863659, $1,860 (68% win rate)
0x50c3...ace1 — Outcome 77863659, $1,500 (100% win rate)
0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 77863659, $1,441 (76% win rate)
0x71a9...da0a — Outcome 77863659, $1,429 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Miami Marlins vs. Athletics

ResolvedMiami Marlins vs. Athletics$44,884 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Athletics, scheduled for July 3 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

MIA

47-42

Final

ATH

41-47

MIA +119ATH -143O/U 11

Venue

Sutter Health Park, Sacramento

Attendance