Part of: Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova

Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,431.

Notable Trades

Profitable new wallet before surge

A 1-day-old wallet with early profitability bought Mertens at 53¢ before the market surged to 98¢, alongside one-sided flow and price impact.

This new wallet is already up $17.9K and has won all 5 resolved bets so far.
It bought Mertens at 53¢ before the market moved to 98¢.
Four wallets all bet the same direction, adding $7.9K of one-sided pressure.

$1,141 on Elise Mertens | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable trader caught tennis steam

Profitable high-volume sports trader joined a 4-wallet Mertens buy wave before the price moved from 57¢ to 98¢, though the edge is likely gone at current odds.

This bettor is up $61.7k lifetime across 264 resolved bets.
Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $7.9k on Mertens.
Entry at 57¢ came before Mertens moved to 98¢, so this was a strong live-market read.

$1,770 on Elise Mertens | Wallet win rate: 57%

95% winner-led tennis cluster

Three wallets bought Elise Mertens together, led by a bettor with a 95% record and $440K profit, with price already moving from 54¢ to 66¢.

A bettor who wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $440K led this move.
Three wallets bought the same side for $8.4K, all entering around 54¢ before the price rose to 66¢.
One wallet is only 1 day old but already has $17.9K profit and repeated large flagged bets.

$8,370 on Elise Mertens

95% win-rate sports sharp

Surfacing because a highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet with extensive cross-market history bought Elise Mertens despite the price moving against them afterward.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $440K lifetime.
They have traded 130 sports events with a 95% win rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
The $6.1K buy at 54¢ came during a 118x pre-event volume spike.

$6,149 on Elise Mertens | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 10129824, $15,557 (63% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 10129824, $10,907 (55% win rate)
0xa804...2a75 — Outcome 10129824, $5,000 (71% win rate)
0x0c87...98b1 — Outcome 10129824, $1,000
0xd034...eece — Outcome 10129824, $1,000
0x39ce...e2bd — Outcome 10129824, $895 (78% win rate)
0xa2b2...4fff — Outcome 10129824, $613 (77% win rate)
0x5baf...3e56 — Outcome 10129824, $500
0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 10129824, $412 (69% win rate)
0x7fea...8f74 — Outcome 10129824, $385 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova

ResolvedGrass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova$17,431 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Elise Mertens and Liudmila Samsonova in the Grass Court Championships, originally scheduled for June 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elise Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Elise Mertens. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.