Part of: Netherlands vs. Japan - More Markets

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,767.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 79% win rate bought Japan at 80¢ amid a 52.5x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 840 bets and is up $12.3K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 42 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market sports strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Japan has seen heavy support, with volume running 52.5x above normal and odds now around 82¢.

$1,000 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 79%

Undefeated new sports whale

A recently active high-performing sports wallet bought $36k of Japan after going 7-for-7 with $48k profit, amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is 7-for-7 on resolved bets and is up $48k so far.
  • They put $36k on Japan at 78¢, a large single-position vote of confidence.
  • Market activity spiked sharply before the game, suggesting fresh attention around this side.

$36,175 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable whale cluster

A highly profitable, high-volume wallet bought $11.5k of Japan amid linked-wallet and cross-market activity on a normally quiet market.

  • This bettor is up $1.4M lifetime across 78,036 resolved trades.
  • Two linked wallets have deployed $135k around this event, with this wallet buying $11.5k of Japan.
  • Market volume spiked nearly 6,000x, and this single trade was 238% of the past day’s volume.

$11,543 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 54%

Profitable bettor in quiet market

A highly profitable, high-volume sports bettor put $6.0k on Japan in an otherwise dormant market with only $31 of 24h volume.

  • This bettor is up about $2.1M lifetime across more than 74,000 resolved bets.
  • The $6.0k buy is nearly 200x this market’s 24-hour volume, suggesting unusual conviction.
  • Entry at 75¢ backs Japan to cover +1.5 goals against Netherlands.

$6,049 on Japan | Wallet win rate: 54%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 10097489, $14,933 (55% win rate)
  2. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 10097489, $13,535 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x198f...c419 Outcome 10097489, $13,361 (49% win rate)
  4. 0xfcb5...68bc Outcome 10097489, $9,256 (30% win rate)
  5. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 10097489, $7,011 (75% win rate)
  6. 0x2ab6...05fe Outcome 10097489, $5,250 (100% win rate)
  7. 0xd34a...78c7 Outcome 10097489, $4,836 (70% win rate)
  8. 0x37ae...1002 Outcome 10097489, $3,288 (83% win rate)
  9. 0xc941...5afa Outcome 10097489, $2,500
  10. 0x7042...c72b Outcome 10097489, $2,249 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

ResolvedNetherlands vs. Japan - More Markets$54,767 tracked4 signalsFIFA World CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 14 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Japan". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

2d ago

$1,000 on Japan at 80¢

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

2d ago

$36,175 on Japan at 78¢

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

3d ago

$11,543 on Japan at 75¢

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

8d ago

$6,049 on Japan at 75¢

Related Theses