How is Predict.fun’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The market uses that figure to determine whether the valuation is above $200 million.

When does this Predict.fun market resolve?

The market resolves based on the token’s FDV at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. The listed resolution date is January 1, 2028, but the key condition is the token’s public, tradable launch.

What smart money activity is being tracked?

PolySpotter currently tracks $12,853 in smart money exposure for this market, with one signal and recent alerts showing a linked wallet and repeat whale buying YES.

Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Q: What is the Predict.fun FDV above $200M market about?

This market predicts whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation greater than $200 million one day after it launches.

Q: What counts as a Predict.fun token launch?

For this market, the token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched.

This prediction market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $200 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. The market covers the token’s launch FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by token price, and has $12,853 in smart money tracked with recent YES-side whale activity. The listed resolution date is January 1, 2028, though final resolution depends on the token becoming publicly transferable and tradable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $18,298.

Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market

Notable Trades

New repeat whale on Yes

A 9-day-old repeat large bettor put $12.9k on Yes in a relatively quiet Predict.fun FDV market, alongside related bets across the same event.

This 9-day-old wallet has already made 21 flagged large bets totaling about $104k.
They bought $12.9k of Yes, large enough to dominate recent quiet-market flow.
The wallet is also betting across 3 related Predict.fun markets, suggesting a broader launch-valuation thesis.

$12,853 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

New linked wallet buying YES

A 13-day-old repeat large bettor bought $5.4k of Yes at 75¢ on a relatively quiet FDV market, with a linked-wallet funding pattern adding conviction.

A 13-day-old wallet put $5.4k on Yes at 75¢, a large bet versus the market’s $8.2k daily volume.
The wallet is already up $2.45k on $10.8k invested, though its resolved history is still very small.
A second wallet shares the same funder, suggesting coordinated conviction behind the Yes position.

$5,445 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%