Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $149,978.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Profitable bettor chasing Over breakout
Moderately notable MLB totals bet from a small-sample profitable bettor, supported by a large upward price breakout on Over.
- This bettor has won 75% of resolved bets, beating average odds of 51%.
- Over has moved sharply, up 26.5 points in the past day and breaking above its prior range.
- They bought at 76¢, while the market is now around 72¢.
$1,143 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%
Sharp last-minute Over cluster
Strong Over buy driven by a 94% lifetime sharp, last-minute serial timing, and $44.8k of one-sided cluster flow into a live MLB total.
- A bettor who wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $1.58M bought $25k of Over at 51¢.
- Three wallets put $44.8k on the same side, all buying Over into the final minute before resolution.
- This market saw a 605x volume spike, with the sharp entry at 51¢ implying near-even odds on a fast-moving live total.
$44,835 on Over
$1.3M-profit whale
A very profitable sports bettor placed a $104k Over bet that dwarfs recent volume on a quiet MLB totals market.
- This bettor is up $1.28M lifetime across 102 resolved trades.
- The $104k Over bet is more than 10x this market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 51¢ implies they see the total as meaningfully mispriced despite an even market.
$104,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xbddf...c684 — Outcome 10420992, $325,228 (90% win rate)
- 0x9c76...c926 — Outcome 10420992, $15,000 (90% win rate)
- 0xbc73...d0c6 — Outcome 74738198, $3,426 (75% win rate)
- 0x8ded...3350 — Outcome 10420992, $1,376
- 0x57b1...4b99 — Outcome 74738198, $1,224 (47% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Outcome 10420992, $822 (74% win rate)
- 0xa99f...164b — Outcome 10420992, $754
- 0x9542...4295 — Outcome 10420992, $489
- 0xa65c...509d — Outcome 10420992, $400
- 0xe911...3d4e — Outcome 10420992, $365 (65% win rate)
Related Theses
Guardians Yankees go over
Covers 1 related market
Blue Jays Braves stay under
Covers 1 related market
White Sox beat Twins
Covers 1 related market
Royals Reds go over
Covers 1 related market
Giants-Brewers game goes high
Covers 2 related markets
Mets Padres go under
Covers 1 related market
Tigers Rays go over
Covers 1 related market
Angels Dodgers stays low-scoring
Covers 1 related market
Marlins Nationals go over
Covers 1 related market
Diamondbacks beat the Dodgers
Covers 1 related market
