Part of: Brazil vs. Haiti - More Markets

Spread: Brazil (-4.5)

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $40,188.

Categories: Soccer, Games, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

Profitable serial event trader

High-scoring cluster led by a profitable serial cross-market bettor adding Brazil after a major price drop, though the dollar size is modest for this liquid market.

  • A profitable bettor with a 66% record and about $1.95M in P&L is buying Brazil.
  • This wallet has traded 195 markets across 53 events, with $2.1M in tracked cross-market volume.
  • Three wallets bought the same side after Brazil fell sharply, with two entries around 23¢.

$4,066 on Brazil

94% winner joins Haiti cluster

High-conviction Haiti spread buying from a 3-wallet cluster, including a 94% winning serial cross-market trader and a major profitable wallet.

  • A bettor who wins 94% of resolved positions is buying Haiti at 81–82¢.
  • Three wallets bought $11.7K on the same side as volume spiked 67x above normal.
  • One wallet in the cluster is up $2.0M lifetime, adding credibility to the one-sided flow.

$11,654 on Haiti

Profitable whale moved thin market

A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor put $24.5k on Brazil covering -4.5 in a thin, wide-spread market and moved the price sharply upward.

  • This bettor is up $1.45M lifetime across more than $57M traded, despite a low hit rate.
  • They put $24.5k on Brazil in a market with only $33k liquidity, showing concentrated conviction.
  • The bet pushed Brazil sharply higher in a wide-spread market, suggesting this was not routine flow.

$24,468 on Brazil | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcd65...ee96 Outcome 94230385, $109,751 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x94d7...bef5 Outcome 94230385, $30,000 (90% win rate)
  3. 0xdb85...152f Outcome 94230385, $20,000 (77% win rate)
  4. 0xdbdd...a5de Outcome 94230385, $10,540 (52% win rate)
  5. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 94230385, $10,003 (85% win rate)
  6. 0x3da8...80c3 Outcome 94230385, $9,615 (96% win rate)
  7. 0xe1ec...2d0e Outcome 94230385, $6,200 (79% win rate)
  8. 0x5505...aa44 Outcome 94230385, $5,418
  9. 0x37ae...1002 Outcome 94230385, $4,808 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x93f6...4814 Outcome 94230385, $3,600 (38% win rate)

Related Theses

Colombia-Portugal ends decisively

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder win high-scoring nailbiter

Covers 4 related markets

Pistons cover in defensive win

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder win high-scoring matchup

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil-Morocco outcomes are underpriced

Covers 3 related markets

Germany routs but Curaçao scores

Covers 4 related markets

Spurs cover, total 215-219

Covers 4 related markets

Spurs-Thunder shootout stays close

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs win close low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs cover in shootout

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Brazil (-4.5)

ResolvedBrazil vs. Haiti - More Markets$40,188 tracked3 signalsSoccerGamesSportsFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 19 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brazil" if Brazil win the game by 5 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Haiti". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Brazil (-4.5)

12d ago

$4,066 on Brazil at 30¢

Spread: Brazil (-4.5)

12d ago

$11,654 on Haiti at 82¢

Spread: Brazil (-4.5)

17d ago

$24,468 on Brazil at 84¢

Related Theses