QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?
This Polymarket asks whether the Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), which tracks the Nasdaq-100, will close higher or lower on April 13, 2026 than it did on the most recent prior trading day. It resolves to “Up” if QQQ’s April 13 closing price is above the previous close, and to “Down” if it is below. The market resolves on April 13, 2026 after the official close data is available.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on April 13, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on April 13, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.QQQ%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.QQQ%2FUSD?t=1773432000).
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,105.
Categories: Finance, Equities, Stocks, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Equity Daily Pyth, QQQ, Rewards 200, 4.5, 50
Notable Trades
Repeat new-wallet whale
A very new wallet has repeatedly placed sizable bets and just bought Down at 46¢ in a thin QQQ daily market before the price moved sharply in its favor to 62%.
- This new wallet has already been flagged 5 times with about $16.1k in large bets, showing repeat conviction rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought Down at 46¢ and the market is now 62¢, so this trade is already up sharply after entry.
- The market only has about $2.2k of liquidity, so a $2.1k bet is meaningful size in a relatively thin book.
$2,105 on Down
Top Holders
- 0x6f87...f277 — Up, $4,912 (68% win rate)
- 0x0e71...be4c — Down, $4,187
- 0x4be5...c1b3 — Up, $1,965 (82% win rate)
- 0x448d...3ade — Down, $1,187
- 0xc023...5ae8 — Up, $1,051
- 0xd81f...6b75 — Down, $1,050 (47% win rate)
- 0x0d5d...31b9 — Down, $1,000
- 0xd5eb...9120 — Up, $800
- 0xb44e...681a — Down, $753 (78% win rate)
- 0xc935...bad8 — Down, $649
