Part of: Portugal vs. Croatia - More Markets
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $134,433.
Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
16-wallet Under cluster
Strong coordinated Under flow: 16 wallets bought the same side for over $103K with linked funding, alongside major volume spikes and a large price move.
- 16 wallets all bought Under, totaling $103K, with linked funding across part of the group.
- This wallet added $7.2K at 63–77¢ as Under moved sharply higher.
- The market saw an 18–23x volume spike, and Under has since reached 100¢.
$7,234 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%
36-wallet Croatia push
Strong coordinated one-sided flow is the main signal, with 36 wallets buying Croatia for $186.6k despite this individual wallet having a poor long-term record.
- 36 wallets are all buying Croatia, totaling $186.6k in one-sided flow.
- There is a major volume spike, with activity running over 50x the historical average.
- The individual wallet has a weak record, so the signal is the coordinated market move rather than this bettor alone.
$6,374 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 46%
98% sharp buying Over
A 98% winning serial cross-market trader made the largest effective Over buy, backed by one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- The largest trade comes from a bettor who wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $46K lifetime.
- Three wallets put $13.4K on the Over, including a $10.3K Under sell that equals buying Over at 14¢.
- This market saw a 14.8x pre-event volume spike, with the sharpest entry implying Over is mispriced below 20¢.
$19,097 on Over
85% winner buying Under
Sharp sports bettor with an 85% resolved win record and serial cross-market history bought Under 3.5 at 88%, now trading higher.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $6.7K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 25 events with $139K already deployed.
- Bought Under at 88%, and the market has already moved to 92%.
$1,645 on Under | Wallet win rate: 87%
97% winner buying Over
Highly profitable sharp sports wallet bought $12.1k of Over at 31¢, backed by a 97% historical win rate and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $2.48M lifetime.
- They put $12.1k on Over at 31¢, implying a roughly 3.2x payout if 4+ goals hit.
- Market volume spiked 81x above normal, and this wallet has traded 83 events with the same strong track record.
$12,125 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%
97% winner buying Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Under 3.5 on a high-volume Portugal-Croatia market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 35 of 36 resolved bets and is up $62K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 62 events with a 97% win rate.
- Bought Under at 69¢ during a 78x pre-game volume spike.
$11,031 on Under | Wallet win rate: 98%
92% winner buying Under
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate is buying Under, backed by a major pre-game volume spike and a long cross-market track record.
- This bettor has won 92% of 260 resolved bets and is up $117K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 133 events with $669K in tracked volume.
- Market volume is surging before kickoff, with activity running 155x above its usual pace.
$1,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 90%
Two 97% sharps on Under
Strong Under flow worth surfacing because two profitable 97% sports bettors joined a $42k three-wallet cluster amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- Two bettors in this cluster win 97% of their resolved trades and are up about $97k combined.
- Three wallets bought $42k of Under at about 69¢, pushing into a market now priced around 71¢.
- One sharp has traded across 63 events with a 97% hit rate, suggesting this is part of a proven sports-betting pattern.
$42,136 on Under
97% winner buying Under
Sharp sports bettor with a 97% resolved win rate and strong cross-market track record bought Under 3.5 on a high-volume Portugal-Croatia market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 35 of 36 resolved bets and is up $62K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 62 events with a 97% win rate.
- Bought Under at 69¢ during a 78x pre-game volume spike.
$5,832 on Under | Wallet win rate: 98%
Coordinated Over buyers
Coordinated pre-game buying on Over with a 78x volume spike and one strong early-track-record wallet makes this worth surfacing.
- Three wallets bought $20.8K of Over within 8 minutes, all around 32¢.
- Volume is running 78x above normal ahead of kickoff, and Over is up 4.6% today.
- The largest buyer has won 7 of 8 resolved bets and is up $83K, though the sample is still small.
$20,757 on Over
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 59139815, $128,990 (63% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 59139815, $90,370 (55% win rate)
- 0x4f12...8140 — Outcome 59139815, $48,662 (90% win rate)
- 0xc41d...74fd — Outcome 59139815, $38,800 (97% win rate)
- 0x24c7...77c4 — Outcome 59139815, $20,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xa209...ffbe — Outcome 59139815, $13,828 (97% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 59139815, $12,782 (58% win rate)
- 0xb184...b6c6 — Outcome 59139815, $12,108 (77% win rate)
- 0x332a...c9a2 — Outcome 59139815, $8,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xdf80...3259 — Outcome 59139815, $6,666 (70% win rate)
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