Part of: Washington Mystics vs. Portland Fire
Spread: Washington Mystics (-5.5)
This WNBA prediction market covers the Washington Mystics -5.5 spread against the Portland Fire on August 23, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. It resolves to Washington Mystics if they win by 6 or more points; otherwise, including a tie, it resolves to Portland Fire. The provided data shows $6,007 in tracked smart money across two signals, but does not include a live market price.
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for August 23 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Mystics" if the Washington Mystics win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Portland Fire". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,007.
Categories: Sports, Games, WNBA, Basketball
Notable Trades
Proven sharp backs Portland Fire
A highly proven bettor with an 89% win rate and $3.38M profit made a concentrated bet in a thin WNBA spread market.
- This bettor has won 89% of 2,531 resolved positions and is up $3.38 million.
- The $3,623 Portland Fire bet represents most of the market's recent volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market.
- The entry at 52¢ implies the bettor sees Portland covering the spread as meaningfully more likely than the market does.
$3,623 on Portland Fire | Wallet win rate: 89%
Serial trader makes thin-market bet
A serial high-volume trader placed a $2.4K bet that represented nearly ten times the flagged 24-hour volume in a relatively thin WNBA spread market, though the wallet's historical edge is modest.
- This trader has participated in 4,699 events and 5,519 markets with $50.1M in historical trading volume.
- The $2,385 Mystics bet was nearly 10 times the market's flagged 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a thin market.
- The wallet has a 65% win rate across 44,782 resolved bets, but its average winning entry price of 62% suggests only a modest demonstrated edge here.
$2,385 on Washington Mystics | Wallet win rate: 65%
Top Holders
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Portland Fire, $8,241 (89% win rate)
- 0x684b...8409 — Portland Fire, $4,918 (92% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Washington Mystics, $4,769 (65% win rate)
- 0x32ed...f960 — Washington Mystics, $4,293 (67% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Washington Mystics, $3,705 (64% win rate)
- 0x5268...135d — Portland Fire, $2,228 (54% win rate)
- 0x4df3...788f — Portland Fire, $1,043 (70% win rate)
- 0x228b...af4c — Washington Mystics, $929
- 0xc34b...9296 — Portland Fire, $824 (96% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — Washington Mystics, $750 (54% win rate)
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