Part of: Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $104,908.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

18-wallet Yandex consensus

A large coordinated Team Yandex position coincided with a 26-point price surge and includes several highly profitable bettors with exceptional historical win rates.

18 wallets committed $85,600 to Team Yandex, while the market moved from roughly 50% to 76%.
Several participants have strong records, including 94% win rates across 216 and 307 resolved bets with substantial profits.
The largest visible bets entered Team Yandex around 45–52%, implying meaningful value before the sharp repricing.

$85,600 on Team Yandex

95% winner backs Iron Wing

An exceptionally successful bettor with a 95% win rate made a concentrated Iron Wing position amid coordinated buying and a major volume spike, although the market has since moved sharply against the trade.

This bettor has won 206 of 217 resolved trades, with $7.4 million in lifetime profit and a 95% win rate.
Eight wallets bought Iron Wing together for $27,708 during a 143.7x volume surge, reinforcing the directional thesis.
The position entered around 50¢ but Iron Wing is now 24%, so the sharp price reversal is an important risk warning.

$6,521 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% winner in coordinated Iron Wing buy

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate bought Iron Wing alongside seven other wallets during a 143.7x volume surge, despite the market later moving sharply against the position.

This bettor has won 96% of 871 resolved positions and earned $1.44 million in profit.
Eight wallets bought Iron Wing for $27,708 total, while market volume surged 143.7x above its historical average.
The bettor entered at 46¢, but Iron Wing has since fallen to 24¢, making this a high-conviction but currently underwater position.

$2,787 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 96%

98% winner backs Iron Wing

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate made a concentrated $10,000 Iron Wing purchase amid an 8-wallet directional cluster and a major volume spike, despite the position now trading sharply lower.

This bettor has won 641 of 651 resolved positions, with $10.7M in lifetime profit and a substantial edge over the odds paid.
The wallet concentrated $10,000 on Iron Wing, while eight wallets bought the same outcome for $27,708 total.
The market moved from the 46–50¢ entry range to 24¢, creating substantial upside if the bettor's thesis is correct but also signaling meaningful adverse movement.

$10,000 on Iron Wing | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

0x79ae...9a4a — Outcome 53669569, $67,805 (93% win rate)
0x57b4...b46b — Outcome 53669569, $20,000 (93% win rate)
0x880d...50b8 — Outcome 53669569, $14,750 (78% win rate)
0x4aec...4ce9 — Outcome 53669569, $14,000 (87% win rate)
0x6f04...1fb0 — Outcome 53669569, $10,370 (89% win rate)
0x559b...4959 — Outcome 53669569, $9,888 (67% win rate)
0x76fc...d3ad — Outcome 53669569, $8,792 (81% win rate)
0x72f0...6be8 — Outcome 53669569, $8,071
0xe45d...230d — Outcome 53669569, $7,000 (89% win rate)
0x6373...a0b7 — Outcome 53669569, $6,887 (81% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

ResolvedDota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage$104,908 tracked4 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 5 match between Iron Wing and Team Yandex in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win the match against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against Iron Wing. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.