Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-22?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,561.

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor leads coordinated Yes buying

Three wallets are aligned on Yes, including a highly profitable bettor with 1,435 resolved trades and $1.65M lifetime P&L, though the market has since fallen sharply against their entries.

A bettor who wins 78% of 1,435 trades and is up $1.65M is buying Yes alongside two other wallets.
Three wallets put $7,609 behind Yes, including a No sale equivalent to buying Yes near 32¢.
The market has fallen from roughly 50¢ entries to 24¢, making this a notable contrarian position rather than confirmed momentum.

$7,609 on Yes

Serial sharp with 78% win rate

A highly profitable serial trader with a 78% win rate made a concentrated Yes bet, although the market has since fallen sharply from the 53¢ entry.

This bettor has won 78% of 1,435 resolved trades and is up $1.65 million.
The $1,525 Yes purchase represented about 70% of the tracked 24-hour volume.
The wallet has traded across 425 events, making this part of a substantial, repeatable cross-market strategy; Yes is now priced at 28% versus the 53¢ entry.

$1,525 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Three-wallet No cluster with market impact

Three wallets concentrated $4.4K on No, representing nearly all recent volume, while the market has already moved 8 percentage points toward No.

Three wallets committed $4,427 to No, equal to 94% of the market’s recent volume.
The No position is backed by a veteran bettor with 42,239 resolved bets, a 72% win rate, and $5.7M in reported profit.
No has risen from roughly 46–53¢ entries to 62¢, while Yes fell 8 points over the past week.

$4,427 on No

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 23932371, $500
0xb47e...c602 — Outcome 41491174, $475
0x677e...4a1f — Outcome 41491174, $441
0xdfc2...9343 — Outcome 41491174, $405
0x775d...6beb — Outcome 41491174, $326 (76% win rate)
0x629d...756c — Outcome 41491174, $165
0xddb6...b9b3 — Outcome 41491174, $145 (87% win rate)
0x8bca...486d — Outcome 41491174, $127
0x085d...c89e — Outcome 41491174, $100
0x9079...b19b — Outcome 41491174, $40 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will CD Tolima win on 2026-08-22?

ResolvedCD Tolima vs. CA Bucaramanga$13,561 tracked3 signalsGamesSoccerSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 22, 2026 If CD Tolima wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.