Part of: Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)

This prediction market covers the Cincinnati Open match between Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It resolves to Swiatek if she wins by at least two sets; otherwise, it resolves to Pegula, with incomplete matches settling 50-50. PolySpotter tracks $6,720 in smart money across two signals, including recent bets backing Pegula.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,720.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

94% winner backs Pegula

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and $7.37M profit made a fresh $4,750 bet on Pegula at 54%, which has since risen to 64%.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 451 resolved positions and is up $7.37 million.
  • They made a fresh $4,750 purchase of Pegula at 54%, showing substantial conviction.
  • Pegula has since climbed to 64%, but the wide 33¢–40¢ spread makes execution important.

$4,750 on Pegula | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven sharp bettor buys Pegula

A highly profitable, proven bettor with an 86% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Pegula at 53%, and the position has since risen to 64%.

  • This bettor wins 86% of 355 resolved positions and is up $1.65 million.
  • They bought Pegula at 53% in a thin-spread sports market; the price has since risen to 64%.
  • The wallet has traded across 323 events with a reported 39-point edge over implied odds.

$1,970 on Pegula | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9c76...c926 Outcome 68968979, $5,248 (92% win rate)
  2. 0xf3a1...bf4b Outcome 68968979, $5,111 (98% win rate)
  3. 0x5b43...0f61 Outcome 68968979, $4,315
  4. 0xf12f...b30f Outcome 68968979, $1,458 (95% win rate)
  5. 0xc144...c809 Outcome 68968979, $1,020 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x0ebb...2b75 Outcome 68968979, $1,000
  7. 0xf83b...44a2 Outcome 68968979, $962 (85% win rate)
  8. 0x707b...69f2 Outcome 68968979, $794 (46% win rate)
  9. 0xc398...f446 Outcome 68968979, $757 (35% win rate)
  10. 0x34f6...145f Outcome 68968979, $500

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Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)

5dCincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek$6,720 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Swiatek" if Iga Swiatek wins by 2 or more sets than Jessica Pegula, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Pegula." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Notable Trades

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)

1d ago

$4,750 on Pegula at 54¢

Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)

1d ago

$1,970 on Pegula at 53¢

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