Part of: Tunisia vs. Netherlands - More Markets

Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 25 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Netherlands" if Netherlands win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Tunisia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $141,856.

Categories: Games, Soccer, Sports, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

16-wallet one-sided surge

Surface as a coordinated market-flow signal: large one-sided buying and major volume spikes pushed Netherlands sharply higher, though the specific wallet has a poor long-term record.

16 wallets bought the same side, totaling about $100K in the scan window.
Volume spiked roughly 50x versus normal, with the price up 8 points today and 27.5 points this week.
This wallet entered mostly before the move, buying from 46¢ to 69¢ before the market reached 80¢.

$4,299 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 48%

Sharp-led 10-wallet cluster

High-conviction Tunisia +1.5 buying from a 10-wallet cluster, including a highly profitable 96% win-rate bettor, despite opposing Netherlands flow and recent price moving against them.

A bettor with a 96% record and $1.4M profit joined the Tunisia side.
10 wallets bought $117k of Tunisia, with two wallets sharing a funder.
They paid around 27–30¢ while Tunisia is now near 20¢, offering a better entry than the cluster got.

$117,381 on Tunisia

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor is taking the Tunisia +1.5 side amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has won 64% of 1,861 resolved bets and is up about $2.38M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 124 events and $4.6M in tracked volume.
The market is seeing a 132x pre-game volume spike, and this trade backs Tunisia at 27¢ against the favorite spread.

$1,179 on Tunisia | Wallet win rate: 70%

93% sports bettor backing favorite

Sharp-wallet override: this bettor has a 93% resolved win record with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Netherlands -1.5 at 73¢.

This bettor has won 13 of 14 resolved bets and is up $1.3K lifetime.
They put $3.6K on Netherlands -1.5 at 73¢ in a high-volume World Cup market.
The market has moved up 20.5 points this week, supporting the same direction.

$3,588 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 69%

Proven cross-market sports sharp

Proven profitable wallet with a 76% win rate and $1.83M lifetime P&L is backing Netherlands while also positioning across related event markets.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.83M lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 215 events with over $1.1M in flagged correlated bets.
They closed a Tunisia position and are now buying Netherlands at 73¢, suggesting a directional flip.

$1,750 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 80%

8-wallet one-sided push

Strong one-sided flow from 8 wallets buying Netherlands, with this wallet scaling in early before a large price move despite no proven long-term edge.

8 wallets have bought the same side, totaling $29.6k on Netherlands.
This bettor scaled in across 3 buys, including an early 53¢ entry that is now around 72¢.
They are also active across 4 related markets in the same event, suggesting a broader Netherlands thesis.

$6,659 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable new sports wallet

A 3-day-old wallet with early profits and repeat large-bet flags is adding another $1.8k to Netherlands -1.5 after going 3-for-3 so far.

This new bettor is 3-for-3 so far and up $2,552 in just 3 days.
The wallet has now been flagged 4 times, with $6,738 in notable bets already tracked.
They bought Netherlands at 73¢ as the market has moved up 20.5 points over the past week.

$1,800 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable 77% sports bettor

Surface because this is a proven profitable sports bettor with a 77% record and $2.46M lifetime profit effectively buying Netherlands -1.5 at 75¢.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $2.46M lifetime.
They effectively bought Netherlands -1.5 at 75¢ by selling Tunisia.
The market has strong momentum, with Netherlands up 22.5 points over the past week.

$1,370 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 77%

Elite 93% sports sharp

Elite 93% winning sports/cross-market bettor with $822k lifetime profit bought Netherlands -1.5 at 69¢, making the wallet track record the main copy signal.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $822k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 255 events with a 93% hit rate.
A $3.8k buy at 69¢ backs Netherlands to win by 2+ goals despite already high market liquidity.

$3,831 on Netherlands | Wallet win rate: 93%