What is the Navone vs Medjedovic prediction market about?

This market asks which player will advance from the Internazionali BNL d'Italia match between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic. It resolves to Mariano Navone if Navone advances, or to Hamad Medjedovic if Medjedovic advances.

When does the Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by May 18, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. Resolution is based on the official match outcome, unless the match is canceled, tied, or delayed beyond the market’s stated rules.

How much smart money is tracked on this market?

PolySpotter is tracking $24,439 in smart money activity on this market, with 3 smart money signals identified so far.

What are the recent smart money signals for Navone vs Medjedovic?

Recent alerts include sharp clusters buying Navone, sharp wallets fading the favorite, and sharp clusters backing Hamad or the underdog. This suggests notable activity on both sides rather than a one-sided market.

What happens if the match is canceled or delayed?

If the match is not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days beyond the scheduled date without a winner, the market may resolve according to its cancellation or delay rules rather than to either player.

Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

This prediction market covers who will advance in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves by May 18, 2026, based on the official match winner, with $24,439 in smart money tracked across 3 signals. Recent sharp activity has appeared on both sides, including clusters buying Navone and Hamad as well as wallets fading the favorite.

24 smart money signals detected, totaling $123,470.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

92% win-rate sports sharp

Surfaced because a highly profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 92% win rate bought Hamad Medjedovic amid a sharp pre-match volume spike and rapid price move.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved bets and is up $2.28M lifetime.
They have traded across 317 events with $3.6M in similar cross-market activity, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
The market saw a 26x volume spike and a fast 19-point move, adding momentum behind the position.

$1,009 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 92%

Sharp wallets fading favorite

High-score cluster of profitable wallets sold Hamad together during a volume spike and fast price drop, though several trades appear to be exits from earlier Hamad longs.

Four wallets sold $22.4K of the favorite in the same window, effectively backing Mariano Navone.
Two strong bettors stand out: one is up $264K lifetime, and another wins 79% with $48K profit.
Volume spiked 26x and Hamad’s price dropped 19 points in under 5 minutes, though several sales were profit-taking exits.

$22,430 on Mariano Navone

Serial sports trader momentum

Serial cross-market sports trader bought Hamad at 90¢ amid a major pre-match volume spike and rapid price move, though the entry is now far worse than current market odds.

This bettor has a huge sample across 1,445 resolved bets, winning 72% despite being down lifetime overall.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 60 events, and this alert came during a 37.6x volume spike.
The trade entered Hamad at 90¢, but the market has since fallen to 74¢, so this is worth studying more than blindly chasing.

$1,000 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader made an $11.9k Hamad Medjedovic buy amid a major volume spike, though the price has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor has won 65% of 43 resolved trades and is up $16.3k lifetime.
They put $11.9k on Hamad Medjedovic while this market saw a 23x volume spike.
The price is now 64¢ versus their 81¢ entry, offering a much cheaper follow than the original bet.

$11,915 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 68%

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable high-volume sports trader is effectively backing Mariano Navone at 36¢ amid a sharp pre-match price move and volume spike.

This bettor has won 68% of 143 resolved bets and is up about $262K lifetime.
They have traded across 212 events with over $1.5M deployed, suggesting a repeatable sports-market edge.
The trade effectively backs Mariano Navone at 36¢ while Hamad Medjedovic’s price fell 19 points in under 5 minutes.

$7,774 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 69%

84% winner tennis sharp

Sharp serial cross-market sports trader with an 84% resolved win rate bought Hamad at 77% before the market moved to 84%.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $61K lifetime across $1.3M invested.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 99 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
Bought Hamad Medjedovic at 77¢ before the market moved to 84¢, showing immediate confirmation.

$2,695 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor backs Navone

Sharp profitable tennis bettor bought Mariano Navone, with supporting one-sided flow and a pre-event volume spike despite the price drifting below their entry.

This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $27.7K lifetime.
Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $6.0K on Mariano Navone.
Market volume spiked 20.6x and Navone’s price jumped 19 points in under 5 minutes.

$1,401 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 84%

Proven sports sharp buying

Sharp high-volume sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and nearly $96k profit bought Navone amid a fast 19-point move.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $95.9k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 107 events with the same 80% win rate.
Navone moved up 19 points in under 5 minutes, and this buy came into that momentum.

$2,909 on Mariano Navone | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume sports wallet bought Hamad at 45¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow and a 16x pre-event volume spike.

This bettor has a long record: 598 resolved bets, 64% wins, and $20K lifetime profit.
Four wallets are all buying Hamad Medjedovic, totaling about $6K on the same side.
Market activity is heating up with a 16x volume spike before the match.

$1,580 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable regular joins Hamad cluster

High-score tennis alert with a profitable high-volume sports wallet buying Hamad alongside one-sided cluster flow, a volume spike, and favorable price movement from 38¢ to 44¢.

This bettor is a major Polymarket regular, up $2.1M across $173M in lifetime volume.
Four wallets bought Hamad the same way, totaling about $6K in one-sided flow.
Entry at 38¢ has already moved to 44¢, suggesting the market is confirming the trade.

$1,208 on Hamad Medjedovic | Wallet win rate: 55%

Top Holders

0xf56b...ac88 — Outcome 85682770, $17,384 (50% win rate)
0xf519...906b — Outcome 85682770, $15,011 (54% win rate)
0x7ce9...61e5 — Outcome 85682770, $11,986 (84% win rate)
0x8f76...aea6 — Outcome 85682770, $9,929 (80% win rate)
0x45e4...7e20 — Outcome 85682770, $7,670 (40% win rate)
0xce9f...26e8 — Outcome 85682770, $7,489 (95% win rate)
0x1da3...2f94 — Outcome 85682770, $5,310 (86% win rate)
0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 85682770, $4,895 (53% win rate)
0x43eb...cf57 — Outcome 85682770, $4,353 (88% win rate)
0x5bec...b215 — Outcome 85682770, $4,216 (53% win rate)

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Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic

4dInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovic$123,470 tracked24 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Hamad Medjedovic in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Hamad Medjedovic. This market will resolve to 'Hamad Medjedovic' if Hamad Medjedovic advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.