Part of: Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Académico de Viseu FC

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $27,118.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Primeira Liga

Notable Trades

Coordinated No buying after sharp drop

A coordinated No position coincided with a 155x volume spike and a sharp 44-point Yes-price decline, including a highly profitable 72% win-rate trader.

  • Four wallets committed $6,923 to No, including a trader with a 72% win rate and $5.1M lifetime profit.
  • The market saw a 155x surge over its historical volume while Yes fell 44 percentage points in one day.
  • The $1,050 Yes sale is equivalent to another No purchase, reinforcing the one-sided thesis despite one wallet already holding both outcomes.

$6,923 on No

Four-wallet coordinated dip buying

Four wallets, including three profitable long-term traders, coordinated nearly $9,600 in Yes purchases after a 40-point price collapse, making this a notable dip-buying signal despite mixed conviction.

  • Four wallets bought Yes together, committing nearly $9,600 after the market fell from roughly 90¢ to 50¢.
  • Three participating wallets are profitable over hundreds of resolved markets, with lifetime profits ranging from $68,717 to $83,033.
  • The buying followed a 224x surge in market activity, although one participant holds both Yes and No positions and weakens the signal.

$9,598 on Yes

99% win-rate serial sports trader

A highly successful serial sports trader is adding $5,571 to an existing Benfica Yes position despite the already-high 88% price.

  • This bettor has won 70 of 71 resolved trades, with a $170,680 lifetime profit.
  • They are adding $5,571 to an existing Benfica Yes position at 88%, reinforcing their conviction.
  • The trader has positioned across 55 events and 71 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$5,571 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced, profitable trader with a 67% win rate and strong historical returns placed a meaningful $1,912 buy, though the market is already priced as an 88% favorite.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 3,099 resolved trades and is up $545,716 lifetime.
  • The $1,912 buy adds meaningful conviction to an already-heavy 89¢ Yes price.
  • Their activity spans 244 events and $1.14 million in cross-market trading, providing substantial historical context.

$1,912 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

99% win-rate serial bettor

An exceptionally proven bettor with a 99% win rate and $16.8M profit is making a fresh $3,115 purchase of Benfica Yes.

  • This bettor has won 1,727 of 1,740 resolved trades and earned $16.8M in profit.
  • They are making a fresh $3,115 bet on Benfica Yes at 89¢, despite the already-high market price.
  • The wallet has traded across 833 events and 893 markets, indicating broad and sustained experience rather than a one-off result.

$3,115 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0xab82...abe5 Outcome 10499048, $25,840 (61% win rate)
  2. 0x1a22...7b00 Outcome 10499048, $6,330 (99% win rate)
  3. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 10499048, $5,000 (99% win rate)
  4. 0xdc41...dd7e Outcome 10499048, $3,284 (73% win rate)
  5. 0xaf18...3ca8 Outcome 10499048, $1,923 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x93df...7306 Outcome 10499048, $1,800 (85% win rate)
  7. 0xa1f7...7656 Outcome 10499048, $1,695 (97% win rate)
  8. 0xe216...52ad Outcome 10499048, $1,357
  9. 0xd4a3...815e Outcome 10499048, $1,150
  10. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 10499048, $1,077 (83% win rate)

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Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?

ResolvedSport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Académico de Viseu FC$27,118 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPrimeira Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 9, 2026 If Sport Lisboa e Benfica wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No
102¢
56¢
10¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?

14d ago

$6,923 on No at 48¢

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?

14d ago

$9,598 on Yes at 57¢

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?

14d ago

$5,571 on Yes at 88¢

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?

14d ago

$1,912 on Yes at 89¢

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-09?

14d ago

$3,115 on Yes at 89¢

Related Theses