Part of: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07

Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-08-29?

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $112,194.

Categories: bundesliga, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp wallets scaling into No

Four wallets concentrated $22.7K on No, including highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates, while the market subsequently moved sharply to 100% No.

Four wallets bought No for a combined $22,733, including a bettor with a 93% win rate and $825K lifetime profit.
Another participant wins 82% of bets and is up $55,550, adding credibility to the coordinated position.
No was purchased between 37¢ and 83¢ before the market moved 46 percentage points to 100%.

$22,733 on No

Elite bettor with coordinated backing

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate bought Mainz at 64¢ alongside six other wallets, making this a strong retrospective signal despite the position now pricing at zero.

This bettor has won 94% of 524 resolved trades and earned $8.3M in P&L, with an average winning entry of just 50¢.
Seven wallets bought Yes in the same direction, committing about $50,119 to the Mainz outcome.
The 64¢ position is now priced at 0¢, so this specific trade appears to have lost; its value is primarily as a study of an otherwise exceptional bettor and coordinated pattern.

$35,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% win-rate bettor buys No

A highly proven bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,413 No bet that is already moving in their direction.

This bettor has won 902 of 969 resolved trades, with $811,412 in lifetime profit.
They bought No at 60¢, and the market has since moved to 64¢ as Mainz's implied chance fell.
The trade comes from a serial cross-market trader active across 206 events, not an isolated bet.

$1,413 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Two elite bettors buying Mainz Yes

Two exceptionally profitable bettors coordinated a $40.8K Yes position alongside a 315x volume spike, despite the market later falling from their 64¢ entry to 56¢.

Two wallets with 99% and 94% win rates committed $39,800 to Yes at 64¢.
Three wallets bought the same outcome, creating $40,800 of coordinated one-sided flow.
Trading volume was 315 times its historical average, though Yes has since slipped to 56¢.

$40,800 on Yes

Sharp serial bettor backs Mainz

A highly profitable serial trader with an 80% win rate and substantial edge is buying Mainz at 64%, supported by recent upward price movement.

This bettor wins 80% of 153 resolved trades and is up $103,607 lifetime.
Their average winning entry is 50%, implying a strong edge compared with this 64¢ purchase.
Mainz has risen 5.5% recently while the trader adds fresh exposure in a liquid market.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 80%

91% win-rate bettor buys Mainz

A highly profitable bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial odds-adjusted edge made a fresh $11,247 Yes bet in a relatively quiet market.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades, with $1.22M in reported profit and an average entry price of 53%.
The fresh $11,247 Yes position is exceptionally large relative to the detected $872 in 24-hour volume.
The wallet has traded across 157 markets and 137 events, suggesting a repeatable, experienced strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$11,247 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 45790785, $54,330 (93% win rate)
0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 45790785, $22,500 (99% win rate)
0x4d30...a42d — Outcome 45790785, $19,084 (93% win rate)
0x7879...3653 — Outcome 45790785, $7,813 (97% win rate)
0xeb73...53b0 — Outcome 45790785, $4,200 (52% win rate)
0x2117...5c26 — Outcome 45790785, $3,242 (49% win rate)
0x02c6...b512 — Outcome 45790785, $1,563 (90% win rate)
0x911b...344f — Outcome 45790785, $1,563 (80% win rate)
0xcd3d...e7eb — Outcome 45790785, $1,250 (30% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 45790785, $839 (65% win rate)

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Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-08-29?

Resolved1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Paderborn 07$112,194 tracked6 signalsbundesligaSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 29, 2026 If 1. FSV Mainz 05 wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes”

65¢

61¢

56¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction