Part of: Minnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $46,914.

Notable Trades

Serial sports bettor follows move

A very active cross-market sports bettor bought No at 85¢ amid a sharp move from roughly coin-flip to 88¢, though their lifetime P&L is negative so this is more momentum-following than proven sharp money.

This bettor has traded 32 related events and wins 70% of resolved bets, but is down about $16.9k lifetime.
No has surged from around 55¢ to 88¢, and this trade entered at 85¢ before the latest move.
The market has heavy 24h volume, so the signal is mainly the strong price momentum plus an experienced bettor joining it.

$1,812 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp wallets buying late

Three wallets bought Minnesota Yes minutes before resolution, including two highly profitable sports bettors with 91% and 100% historical win rates plus a major pre-event volume spike.

Two bettors in this cluster have elite records: one wins 91% of bets and is up $653k, another is 29-for-29 and up $60k.
Three wallets bought the same side for $7.6k total, all entering around 44¢.
The buying came about 4 minutes before resolution alongside an 89.9x volume spike.

$7,605 on Yes

Profitable whale net long No

A highly profitable wallet with an 89% resolved record drove a large pre-game volume spike and ended net long No despite also catching a cheap Yes price.

This bettor is up about $5.0M lifetime with 8 wins in 9 resolved bets.
They put about $29K into this market, including roughly $22K on No around 55–56¢.
Market activity spiked more than 100x before the game, suggesting unusually strong pre-event positioning.

$29,248 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Profitable repeat sports bettor

Despite the low composite score, this is a profitable repeat sports bettor with an 89% resolved record and nearly $5M in P&L taking an $8.2k No position before kickoff.

This bettor has won 8 of 9 resolved bets and is up about $5.0M lifetime.
The $8.2k No buy is large for this market, equal to roughly 84% of its 24h volume.
Entry at 55¢ implies they see Minnesota failing to win as meaningfully underpriced.

$8,249 on No | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0x639c...31e2 — Outcome 15963838, $9,259 (55% win rate)
0xf421...cff4 — Outcome 15963838, $4,616 (98% win rate)
0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 15963838, $4,464 (63% win rate)
0x1aa2...30cc — Outcome 15963838, $3,409 (91% win rate)
0xf059...6dd9 — Outcome 15963838, $3,244 (95% win rate)
0x8e4e...1dfc — Outcome 15963838, $2,273 (91% win rate)
0xe0a2...40d5 — Outcome 15963838, $2,273 (91% win rate)
0x0c84...a8ed — Outcome 15963838, $2,000 (94% win rate)
0x4658...4131 — Outcome 15963838, $1,705 (85% win rate)
0x2005...75ea — Outcome 15963838, $1,683 (56% win rate)

Related Theses

Halys beats Bellucci

Covers 1 related market

Delhi Capitals beat Kolkata

Covers 1 related market

Scotland Curaçao under 4.5 goals

Covers 1 related market

Sandefjord and Fredrikstad draw

Covers 1 related market

Naomi Osaka beats Jovic

Covers 1 related market

Learner Tien beats Cobolli

Covers 1 related market

Cerundolo beats Landaluce

Covers 1 related market

Comesana beats Quinn

Covers 1 related market

Rajasthan Royals beat Mumbai

Covers 1 related market

Milan-Cagliari stays under six goals

Covers 1 related market

Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-23?

ResolvedMinnesota United FC vs. Real Salt Lake$46,914 tracked4 signalsGamesSoccerMLSSports

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 23, 2026 If Minnesota United FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No”

96¢

74¢

51¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction